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icon for Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Teknologi·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

icon for Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Teknologi·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Oct 1

Nov 1

Jan 1, 2027

Oct 1

Nov 1

Jan 1, 2027

Anthropic 84%

OpenAI 13.8%

Google 3.0%

Meta <1%

Polymarket

$2,324,582 Vol.

Anthropic 84%

OpenAI 13.8%

Google 3.0%

Meta <1%

Polymarket

$2,324,582 Vol.

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$505,804 Vol.

84%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$403,606 Vol.

14%

icon for Google

Google

$220,603 Vol.

3%

icon for Meta

Meta

$284,661 Vol.

1%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$204,645 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$150,567 Vol.

<1%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$70,811 Vol.

<1%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$33,925 Vol.

<1%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$100,219 Vol.

<1%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$33,423 Vol.

<1%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$77,310 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$19,219 Vol.

<1%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$47,425 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$18,539 Vol.

<1%

icon for Thinky

Thinky

$14,148 Vol.

<1%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$23,406 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$25,591 Vol.

<1%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$18,597 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$12,889 Vol.

<1%

icon for StepFun

StepFun

$21,501 Vol.

<1%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$37,694 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 releases drive the 83.5% implied probability that the company fields the strongest model by end-September, as independent benchmarks show leadership on coding, agentic reasoning, and long-horizon tasks such as Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench variants. These updates build on prior gains in safety-aligned performance and enterprise adoption, outpacing rivals on metrics that matter for practical deployment. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launch on September 3 introduces competitive computer-use capabilities but faces restricted access and mixed third-party results relative to Anthropic’s offerings. Trader consensus reflects this momentum while recognizing that rapid iteration cycles and benchmark volatility could still shift outcomes before month-end.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,324,582
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 releases drive the 83.5% implied probability that the company fields the strongest model by end-September, as independent benchmarks show leadership on coding, agentic reasoning, and long-horizon tasks such as Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench variants. These updates build on prior gains in safety-aligned performance and enterprise adoption, outpacing rivals on metrics that matter for practical deployment. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launch on September 3 introduces competitive computer-use capabilities but faces restricted access and mixed third-party results relative to Anthropic’s offerings. Trader consensus reflects this momentum while recognizing that rapid iteration cycles and benchmark volatility could still shift outcomes before month-end.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,324,582
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

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50%
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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Which company has the best AI model end of September?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 21 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Anthropic" di 84%, diikuti oleh "OpenAI" di 14%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 84¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 84% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Which company has the best AI model end of September?" telah menghasilkan $2.3 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 20, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Which company has the best AI model end of September?," jelajahi 21 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Which company has the best AI model end of September?" adalah "Anthropic" di 84%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 84% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "OpenAI" di 14%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Which company has the best AI model end of September?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.