OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Luna model has driven strong recent token volume on OpenRouter, positioning the lab as the market-implied favorite at 65.5% odds to lead share for the week of September 7. Trader consensus reflects OpenAI’s established developer ecosystem and competitive pricing on key variants, which have sustained usage even as Chinese labs expand. DeepSeek holds the next-highest implied probability at 21.5% on the back of its low-cost V4 Flash family and prior weekly leadership, yet recent daily rankings show fluctuating volumes across Tencent’s Hy4 preview, Z.ai GLM models, and Xiaomi’s MiMo series that keep their odds below 1%. Upcoming resolution hinges on final token aggregates through September 13, with any late surge in proprietary or open-weight usage capable of shifting the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOpenAI 63%
DeepSeek 9%
Qwen <1%
xAI <1%

OpenAI
63%

DeepSeek
21%

Qwen
1%

xAI
1%

Z.ai
<1%

Tencent
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

Anthropic
<1%

<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

Meta
<1%
OpenAI 63%
DeepSeek 9%
Qwen <1%
xAI <1%

OpenAI
63%

DeepSeek
21%

Qwen
1%

xAI
1%

Z.ai
<1%

Tencent
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

Anthropic
<1%

<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

Meta
<1%
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Sumber Resolusi
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Luna model has driven strong recent token volume on OpenRouter, positioning the lab as the market-implied favorite at 65.5% odds to lead share for the week of September 7. Trader consensus reflects OpenAI’s established developer ecosystem and competitive pricing on key variants, which have sustained usage even as Chinese labs expand. DeepSeek holds the next-highest implied probability at 21.5% on the back of its low-cost V4 Flash family and prior weekly leadership, yet recent daily rankings show fluctuating volumes across Tencent’s Hy4 preview, Z.ai GLM models, and Xiaomi’s MiMo series that keep their odds below 1%. Upcoming resolution hinges on final token aggregates through September 13, with any late surge in proprietary or open-weight usage capable of shifting the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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