DeepSeek's 71% implied probability for the #2 spot reflects its sustained high token volume on OpenRouter from the V4 family of models, including the recently released V4.1 Flash and V4 Pro 0813 variants. These deliver strong agentic and multimodal performance at very low cost (often under $0.10 per million tokens), driving developer routing for high-volume workloads amid a broader shift toward affordable open-weight Chinese models. OpenAI sits at 30.8% odds on the strength of GPT-5.6 Luna's usage, though its higher pricing limits share gains relative to competitors. Tencent, Z.ai, and others trail at single-digit odds due to narrower model lineups and recent weekly fluctuations, while Google, Anthropic, xAI, and Meta remain marginal. The week ending September 13 shows DeepSeek holding the overall lead near 26% lab share, with OpenAI second around 14%, underscoring how price and throughput continue to shape real-time routing decisions over benchmark scores alone.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiDeepSeek 83%
OpenAI 32.4%
Google 3.1%
Qwen 2.8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
DeepSeek
70%
OpenAI
32%
3%
Qwen
3%
Z.ai
3%
Tencent
3%
Nvidia
3%
Anthropic
2%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
DeepSeek 83%
OpenAI 32.4%
Google 3.1%
Qwen 2.8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
DeepSeek
$772 Vol.
70%
OpenAI
$145 Vol.
32%
$124 Vol.
3%
Qwen
$99 Vol.
3%
Z.ai
$154 Vol.
3%
Tencent
$178 Vol.
3%
Nvidia
$139 Vol.
3%
Anthropic
$96 Vol.
2%
MiniMax
$175 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$128 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$125 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$96 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.DeepSeek's 71% implied probability for the #2 spot reflects its sustained high token volume on OpenRouter from the V4 family of models, including the recently released V4.1 Flash and V4 Pro 0813 variants. These deliver strong agentic and multimodal performance at very low cost (often under $0.10 per million tokens), driving developer routing for high-volume workloads amid a broader shift toward affordable open-weight Chinese models. OpenAI sits at 30.8% odds on the strength of GPT-5.6 Luna's usage, though its higher pricing limits share gains relative to competitors. Tencent, Z.ai, and others trail at single-digit odds due to narrower model lineups and recent weekly fluctuations, while Google, Anthropic, xAI, and Meta remain marginal. The week ending September 13 shows DeepSeek holding the overall lead near 26% lab share, with OpenAI second around 14%, underscoring how price and throughput continue to shape real-time routing decisions over benchmark scores alone.
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volume
$2,230Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 3:50 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.DeepSeek's 71% implied probability for the #2 spot reflects its sustained high token volume on OpenRouter from the V4 family of models, including the recently released V4.1 Flash and V4 Pro 0813 variants. These deliver strong agentic and multimodal performance at very low cost (often under $0.10 per million tokens), driving developer routing for high-volume workloads amid a broader shift toward affordable open-weight Chinese models. OpenAI sits at 30.8% odds on the strength of GPT-5.6 Luna's usage, though its higher pricing limits share gains relative to competitors. Tencent, Z.ai, and others trail at single-digit odds due to narrower model lineups and recent weekly fluctuations, while Google, Anthropic, xAI, and Meta remain marginal. The week ending September 13 shows DeepSeek holding the overall lead near 26% lab share, with OpenAI second around 14%, underscoring how price and throughput continue to shape real-time routing decisions over benchmark scores alone.
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Volume
$2,230Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 3:50 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...DeepSeek's 71% implied probability for the #2 spot reflects its sustained high token volume on OpenRouter from the V4 family of models, including the recently released V4.1 Flash and V4 Pro 0813 variants. These deliver strong agentic and multimodal performance at very low cost (often under $0.10 per million tokens), driving developer routing for high-volume workloads amid a broader shift toward affordable open-weight Chinese models. OpenAI sits at 30.8% odds on the strength of GPT-5.6 Luna's usage, though its higher pricing limits share gains relative to competitors. Tencent, Z.ai, and others trail at single-digit odds due to narrower model lineups and recent weekly fluctuations, while Google, Anthropic, xAI, and Meta remain marginal. The week ending September 13 shows DeepSeek holding the overall lead near 26% lab share, with OpenAI second around 14%, underscoring how price and throughput continue to shape real-time routing decisions over benchmark scores alone.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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