Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model consensus indicate overnight lows near 27°C for August 15 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity, keeping the market-implied probability highest for that outcome. Daytime maxima of 32–33°C and moderate rain or showers are expected, limiting radiative cooling at night while steering patterns from recent typhoon influences sustain above-normal warmth. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 26–28°C, with trader distribution reflecting uncertainty from potential forecast revisions, localized urban heat effects, or unseasonal showers that could nudge the low slightly lower or higher. Official updates from the Observatory on the coming days remain the key catalyst for any shift in odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
27°C 32%
26°C 21%
25°C 19%
28°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
8%
25°C
19%
26°C
21%
27°C
32%
28°C
18%
29°C
10%
30°C
8%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 32%
26°C 21%
25°C 19%
28°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$22 Vol.
1%
23°C
$22 Vol.
5%
24°C
$15 Vol.
8%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$0 Vol.
32%
28°C
$0 Vol.
18%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$34 Vol.
8%
31°C
$12 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$34 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model consensus indicate overnight lows near 27°C for August 15 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity, keeping the market-implied probability highest for that outcome. Daytime maxima of 32–33°C and moderate rain or showers are expected, limiting radiative cooling at night while steering patterns from recent typhoon influences sustain above-normal warmth. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 26–28°C, with trader distribution reflecting uncertainty from potential forecast revisions, localized urban heat effects, or unseasonal showers that could nudge the low slightly lower or higher. Official updates from the Observatory on the coming days remain the key catalyst for any shift in odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$138Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model consensus indicate overnight lows near 27°C for August 15 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity, keeping the market-implied probability highest for that outcome. Daytime maxima of 32–33°C and moderate rain or showers are expected, limiting radiative cooling at night while steering patterns from recent typhoon influences sustain above-normal warmth. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 26–28°C, with trader distribution reflecting uncertainty from potential forecast revisions, localized urban heat effects, or unseasonal showers that could nudge the low slightly lower or higher. Official updates from the Observatory on the coming days remain the key catalyst for any shift in odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$138Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model consensus indicate overnight lows near 27°C for August 15 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity, keeping the market-implied probability highest for that outcome. Daytime maxima of 32–33°C and moderate rain or showers are expected, limiting radiative cooling at night while steering patterns from recent typhoon influences sustain above-normal warmth. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 26–28°C, with trader distribution reflecting uncertainty from potential forecast revisions, localized urban heat effects, or unseasonal showers that could nudge the low slightly lower or higher. Official updates from the Observatory on the coming days remain the key catalyst for any shift in odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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