Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 21 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, cloud cover, and light southerly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent trends show daytime highs near 34–35 °C with 60–80 % rain probabilities, which sustain elevated humidity and keep overnight lows from dropping sharply. The near-even market split between 30 °C+ and 20 °C-or-below outcomes reflects trader recognition of forecast uncertainty ranges in ensemble runs, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing could alter the exact minimum by a few degrees. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 21?
30°C or higher 94%
20°C or below 93%
28°C 40%
21°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
93%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
25%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
40%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
94%
30°C or higher 94%
20°C or below 93%
28°C 40%
21°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
93%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
40%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 21 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, cloud cover, and light southerly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent trends show daytime highs near 34–35 °C with 60–80 % rain probabilities, which sustain elevated humidity and keep overnight lows from dropping sharply. The near-even market split between 30 °C+ and 20 °C-or-below outcomes reflects trader recognition of forecast uncertainty ranges in ensemble runs, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing could alter the exact minimum by a few degrees. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 21 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, cloud cover, and light southerly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent trends show daytime highs near 34–35 °C with 60–80 % rain probabilities, which sustain elevated humidity and keep overnight lows from dropping sharply. The near-even market split between 30 °C+ and 20 °C-or-below outcomes reflects trader recognition of forecast uncertainty ranges in ensemble runs, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing could alter the exact minimum by a few degrees. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 21 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, cloud cover, and light southerly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent trends show daytime highs near 34–35 °C with 60–80 % rain probabilities, which sustain elevated humidity and keep overnight lows from dropping sharply. The near-even market split between 30 °C+ and 20 °C-or-below outcomes reflects trader recognition of forecast uncertainty ranges in ensemble runs, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing could alter the exact minimum by a few degrees. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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