Trader consensus on the Polymarket market heavily favors 1-100 Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 81.2 percent, driven by the program's slow rollout since its December 2025 launch. Official reports through May 2026 showed just one approval, 338 applications submitted, and only 165 individuals paying the $15,000 processing fee, with hundreds more queued amid extended national security and background vetting by the Departments of Commerce, Homeland Security, and State. The $1 million individual or $2 million corporate gift requirement, combined with EB-1/EB-2 eligibility standards and revocation risks for security concerns, has limited uptake despite earlier administration claims of rapid revenue. No significant acceleration in approvals or policy adjustments has been confirmed through mid-2026, keeping expectations for full-year volume low while acknowledging that final processing timelines could still influence totals before December 31.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHow many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
1-100 81.2%
101-1k 7.5%
>100k 4.8%
1k-2.5k 3.5%
$290,274 Vol.
$290,274 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
1-100
81%
101-1k
8%
1k-2.5k
4%
2.5k-5k
2%
5k-10k
1%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
1%
>100k
5%
1-100 81.2%
101-1k 7.5%
>100k 4.8%
1k-2.5k 3.5%
$290,274 Vol.
$290,274 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
1-100
$18,116 Vol.
81%
101-1k
$41,290 Vol.
8%
1k-2.5k
$11,002 Vol.
4%
2.5k-5k
$10,476 Vol.
2%
5k-10k
$11,926 Vol.
1%
10k-25k
$116,798 Vol.
2%
25k-100k
$10,864 Vol.
1%
>100k
$25,375 Vol.
5%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on the Polymarket market heavily favors 1-100 Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 81.2 percent, driven by the program's slow rollout since its December 2025 launch. Official reports through May 2026 showed just one approval, 338 applications submitted, and only 165 individuals paying the $15,000 processing fee, with hundreds more queued amid extended national security and background vetting by the Departments of Commerce, Homeland Security, and State. The $1 million individual or $2 million corporate gift requirement, combined with EB-1/EB-2 eligibility standards and revocation risks for security concerns, has limited uptake despite earlier administration claims of rapid revenue. No significant acceleration in approvals or policy adjustments has been confirmed through mid-2026, keeping expectations for full-year volume low while acknowledging that final processing timelines could still influence totals before December 31.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Volume
$290,274Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on the Polymarket market heavily favors 1-100 Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 81.2 percent, driven by the program's slow rollout since its December 2025 launch. Official reports through May 2026 showed just one approval, 338 applications submitted, and only 165 individuals paying the $15,000 processing fee, with hundreds more queued amid extended national security and background vetting by the Departments of Commerce, Homeland Security, and State. The $1 million individual or $2 million corporate gift requirement, combined with EB-1/EB-2 eligibility standards and revocation risks for security concerns, has limited uptake despite earlier administration claims of rapid revenue. No significant acceleration in approvals or policy adjustments has been confirmed through mid-2026, keeping expectations for full-year volume low while acknowledging that final processing timelines could still influence totals before December 31.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$290,274Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the Polymarket market heavily favors 1-100 Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 81.2 percent, driven by the program's slow rollout since its December 2025 launch. Official reports through May 2026 showed just one approval, 338 applications submitted, and only 165 individuals paying the $15,000 processing fee, with hundreds more queued amid extended national security and background vetting by the Departments of Commerce, Homeland Security, and State. The $1 million individual or $2 million corporate gift requirement, combined with EB-1/EB-2 eligibility standards and revocation risks for security concerns, has limited uptake despite earlier administration claims of rapid revenue. No significant acceleration in approvals or policy adjustments has been confirmed through mid-2026, keeping expectations for full-year volume low while acknowledging that final processing timelines could still influence totals before December 31.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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