Trump's Truth Social activity has historically averaged around 18 posts per day in 2025, pointing to weekly totals near 120-140 under routine conditions, while occasional spikes exceed 100 posts in a single day amid major policy or market developments. The recent launch of paid early-access feeds to his posts has coincided with bursts of higher-volume activity, including dozens of AI-generated images on August 1, 2026, yet no singular event has shifted the distribution decisively for the August 11-18 window. With probabilities clustered across the 120-199 range, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether news cycles, presidential travel, or routine engagement will sustain elevated output or revert to baseline levels. Scheduled diplomatic or economic announcements could push counts higher, while periods of limited breaking developments may cap totals closer to historical averages.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiDonald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
200+ 22%
120-139 15%
140-159 15%
160-179 12%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
2%
80-99
10%
100-119
11%
120-139
15%
140-159
15%
160-179
12%
180-199
12%
200+
22%
200+ 22%
120-139 15%
140-159 15%
160-179 12%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
2%
80-99
10%
100-119
11%
120-139
15%
140-159
15%
160-179
12%
180-199
12%
200+
22%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sumber Resolusi
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's Truth Social activity has historically averaged around 18 posts per day in 2025, pointing to weekly totals near 120-140 under routine conditions, while occasional spikes exceed 100 posts in a single day amid major policy or market developments. The recent launch of paid early-access feeds to his posts has coincided with bursts of higher-volume activity, including dozens of AI-generated images on August 1, 2026, yet no singular event has shifted the distribution decisively for the August 11-18 window. With probabilities clustered across the 120-199 range, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether news cycles, presidential travel, or routine engagement will sustain elevated output or revert to baseline levels. Scheduled diplomatic or economic announcements could push counts higher, while periods of limited breaking developments may cap totals closer to historical averages.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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