Elon Musk's recent three-day posting window resolved in the 40-64 range, establishing the baseline traders are pricing most heavily for August 10-12. Historical data shows his typical output hovers around 15-21 countable posts daily during routine periods, aligning with moderate weekend activity absent major catalysts. The market's implied probability favors this bracket because no imminent product launches, regulatory hearings, or high-profile controversies appear positioned to drive elevated engagement. Adjacent ranges like 65-89 reflect the possibility of a modest uptick from Grok-related promotions or platform updates, while lower-volume outcomes remain discounted given Musk's established social media cadence on X.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui40-64 47%
65-89 24%
<40 17%
90-114 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
<40
17%
40-64
47%
65-89
24%
90-114
7%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
1%
215-239
1%
240+
<1%
40-64 47%
65-89 24%
<40 17%
90-114 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
<40
$17 Vol.
17%
40-64
$0 Vol.
47%
65-89
$1,037 Vol.
24%
90-114
$40 Vol.
7%
115-139
$50 Vol.
2%
140-164
$552 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$567 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$99 Vol.
1%
215-239
$96 Vol.
1%
240+
$177 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's recent three-day posting window resolved in the 40-64 range, establishing the baseline traders are pricing most heavily for August 10-12. Historical data shows his typical output hovers around 15-21 countable posts daily during routine periods, aligning with moderate weekend activity absent major catalysts. The market's implied probability favors this bracket because no imminent product launches, regulatory hearings, or high-profile controversies appear positioned to drive elevated engagement. Adjacent ranges like 65-89 reflect the possibility of a modest uptick from Grok-related promotions or platform updates, while lower-volume outcomes remain discounted given Musk's established social media cadence on X.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$2,634Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's recent three-day posting window resolved in the 40-64 range, establishing the baseline traders are pricing most heavily for August 10-12. Historical data shows his typical output hovers around 15-21 countable posts daily during routine periods, aligning with moderate weekend activity absent major catalysts. The market's implied probability favors this bracket because no imminent product launches, regulatory hearings, or high-profile controversies appear positioned to drive elevated engagement. Adjacent ranges like 65-89 reflect the possibility of a modest uptick from Grok-related promotions or platform updates, while lower-volume outcomes remain discounted given Musk's established social media cadence on X.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,634Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's recent three-day posting window resolved in the 40-64 range, establishing the baseline traders are pricing most heavily for August 10-12. Historical data shows his typical output hovers around 15-21 countable posts daily during routine periods, aligning with moderate weekend activity absent major catalysts. The market's implied probability favors this bracket because no imminent product launches, regulatory hearings, or high-profile controversies appear positioned to drive elevated engagement. Adjacent ranges like 65-89 reflect the possibility of a modest uptick from Grok-related promotions or platform updates, while lower-volume outcomes remain discounted given Musk's established social media cadence on X.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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