Traders' near-certain positioning on 29°C as Zhengzhou's daily maximum on August 14 reflects convergent forecasts from regional meteorological models and recent observational trends showing stable high pressure with moderate humidity and limited solar heating. Official data indicate typical August conditions in Henan province produce highs near 29–30°C, with current model runs aligning precisely on this threshold without significant deviations expected before evening. This market-implied consensus draws from skin-in-the-game assessment of forecast reliability, where small uncertainties in wind patterns or localized cloud cover could still shift the recorded peak by 1–2°C at official stations. Upcoming verification from national weather services will confirm resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 14?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$5,444 Vol.
$5,444 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$5,444 Vol.
$5,444 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' near-certain positioning on 29°C as Zhengzhou's daily maximum on August 14 reflects convergent forecasts from regional meteorological models and recent observational trends showing stable high pressure with moderate humidity and limited solar heating. Official data indicate typical August conditions in Henan province produce highs near 29–30°C, with current model runs aligning precisely on this threshold without significant deviations expected before evening. This market-implied consensus draws from skin-in-the-game assessment of forecast reliability, where small uncertainties in wind patterns or localized cloud cover could still shift the recorded peak by 1–2°C at official stations. Upcoming verification from national weather services will confirm resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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