Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 16 clustering between 22–23 °C, with limited diurnal warming due to moderating North Sea breezes and variable cloud cover under a broader European ridge. The near-even market-implied odds between these two outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and any localized sea-breeze effects that could cap or enhance peak readings by 1 °C. A lingering heat dome over continental Europe has elevated baseline warmth but is partially offset here by onshore flow, keeping the probability of 24 °C or higher modest. Updated high-resolution model runs and official KNMI guidance expected later on August 15 will likely refine the exact maximum and further inform trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 16?
22°C 41%
23°C 38%
24°C 13%
21°C 8%
BARU
$14,234 Vol.
BARU
$14,234 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
8%
22°C
41%
23°C
38%
24°C
13%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 41%
23°C 38%
24°C 13%
21°C 8%
BARU
$14,234 Vol.
BARU
$14,234 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
19°C or below
$526 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$552 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,210 Vol.
8%
22°C
$2,560 Vol.
41%
23°C
$3,019 Vol.
38%
24°C
$3,581 Vol.
13%
25°C
$975 Vol.
1%
26°C
$596 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$490 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$343 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$457 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 16 clustering between 22–23 °C, with limited diurnal warming due to moderating North Sea breezes and variable cloud cover under a broader European ridge. The near-even market-implied odds between these two outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and any localized sea-breeze effects that could cap or enhance peak readings by 1 °C. A lingering heat dome over continental Europe has elevated baseline warmth but is partially offset here by onshore flow, keeping the probability of 24 °C or higher modest. Updated high-resolution model runs and official KNMI guidance expected later on August 15 will likely refine the exact maximum and further inform trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$14,234Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 16 clustering between 22–23 °C, with limited diurnal warming due to moderating North Sea breezes and variable cloud cover under a broader European ridge. The near-even market-implied odds between these two outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and any localized sea-breeze effects that could cap or enhance peak readings by 1 °C. A lingering heat dome over continental Europe has elevated baseline warmth but is partially offset here by onshore flow, keeping the probability of 24 °C or higher modest. Updated high-resolution model runs and official KNMI guidance expected later on August 15 will likely refine the exact maximum and further inform trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,234Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 16 clustering between 22–23 °C, with limited diurnal warming due to moderating North Sea breezes and variable cloud cover under a broader European ridge. The near-even market-implied odds between these two outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and any localized sea-breeze effects that could cap or enhance peak readings by 1 °C. A lingering heat dome over continental Europe has elevated baseline warmth but is partially offset here by onshore flow, keeping the probability of 24 °C or higher modest. Updated high-resolution model runs and official KNMI guidance expected later on August 15 will likely refine the exact maximum and further inform trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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