Recent forecast models indicate typical late-summer conditions for Beijing on August 16, with highs projected near 30–33°C amid high humidity and possible thunderstorms, aligning closely with climatological averages for the period. Current observations show daytime maxima around 29–30°C under cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal monsoon influences that moderate extreme heat later in the month. Historical data place August highs near 30°C on average, rarely surpassing 35°C after mid-month, supporting trader consensus around these levels while allowing for model revisions from updated runs by agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Key variables include steering patterns and convective activity that could shift peak temperatures by a few degrees before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on August 16?
30°C 30%
31°C 23%
33°C or higher 20%
32°C 16%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
11%
29°C
14%
30°C
28%
31°C
23%
32°C
16%
33°C or higher
14%
30°C 30%
31°C 23%
33°C or higher 20%
32°C 16%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
11%
29°C
14%
30°C
28%
31°C
23%
32°C
16%
33°C or higher
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate typical late-summer conditions for Beijing on August 16, with highs projected near 30–33°C amid high humidity and possible thunderstorms, aligning closely with climatological averages for the period. Current observations show daytime maxima around 29–30°C under cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal monsoon influences that moderate extreme heat later in the month. Historical data place August highs near 30°C on average, rarely surpassing 35°C after mid-month, supporting trader consensus around these levels while allowing for model revisions from updated runs by agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Key variables include steering patterns and convective activity that could shift peak temperatures by a few degrees before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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