**Forecast consensus from the Meteorological Service Singapore and global models supports maximum temperatures near 32°C on August 16 under the prevailing southwest monsoon, with strengthening El Niño conditions contributing to above-average warmth and reduced rainfall.** El Niño typically suppresses convection over the Maritime Continent, increasing solar insolation and daytime heating while the seasonal monsoon pattern favors fair, occasionally windy days that limit cloud cover. Official outlooks note daily maxima of 33–34°C possible across the first half of August, yet specific short-range guidance for the 16th clusters between 31–32°C with moderate humidity and isolated showers. Traders appear to weigh this central tendency most heavily, assigning the highest implied probability to 32°C while discounting both cooler outcomes linked to convective cooling and rarer extremes above 33°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Singapore on August 16?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 16?
32°C 48%
31°C 35%
30°C 9%
33°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
35%
32°C
48%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 48%
31°C 35%
30°C 9%
33°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
$285 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$431 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$94 Vol.
1%
29°C
$411 Vol.
4%
30°C
$420 Vol.
9%
31°C
$507 Vol.
35%
32°C
$2,259 Vol.
48%
33°C
$698 Vol.
8%
34°C
$309 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$144 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Meteorological Service Singapore and global models supports maximum temperatures near 32°C on August 16 under the prevailing southwest monsoon, with strengthening El Niño conditions contributing to above-average warmth and reduced rainfall.** El Niño typically suppresses convection over the Maritime Continent, increasing solar insolation and daytime heating while the seasonal monsoon pattern favors fair, occasionally windy days that limit cloud cover. Official outlooks note daily maxima of 33–34°C possible across the first half of August, yet specific short-range guidance for the 16th clusters between 31–32°C with moderate humidity and isolated showers. Traders appear to weigh this central tendency most heavily, assigning the highest implied probability to 32°C while discounting both cooler outcomes linked to convective cooling and rarer extremes above 33°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,782Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Meteorological Service Singapore and global models supports maximum temperatures near 32°C on August 16 under the prevailing southwest monsoon, with strengthening El Niño conditions contributing to above-average warmth and reduced rainfall.** El Niño typically suppresses convection over the Maritime Continent, increasing solar insolation and daytime heating while the seasonal monsoon pattern favors fair, occasionally windy days that limit cloud cover. Official outlooks note daily maxima of 33–34°C possible across the first half of August, yet specific short-range guidance for the 16th clusters between 31–32°C with moderate humidity and isolated showers. Traders appear to weigh this central tendency most heavily, assigning the highest implied probability to 32°C while discounting both cooler outcomes linked to convective cooling and rarer extremes above 33°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,782Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the Meteorological Service Singapore and global models supports maximum temperatures near 32°C on August 16 under the prevailing southwest monsoon, with strengthening El Niño conditions contributing to above-average warmth and reduced rainfall.** El Niño typically suppresses convection over the Maritime Continent, increasing solar insolation and daytime heating while the seasonal monsoon pattern favors fair, occasionally windy days that limit cloud cover. Official outlooks note daily maxima of 33–34°C possible across the first half of August, yet specific short-range guidance for the 16th clusters between 31–32°C with moderate humidity and isolated showers. Traders appear to weigh this central tendency most heavily, assigning the highest implied probability to 32°C while discounting both cooler outcomes linked to convective cooling and rarer extremes above 33°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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