**Market-implied odds favor a peak near 32–33°C today due to Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, where September afternoons typically reach climatological highs of 30–32°C amid high humidity and light winds.** Current observations show morning temperatures climbing through the upper 20s°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, while ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate an afternoon maximum of 30–32°C depending on cloud cover and any convective cooling. The 52.5% probability on 33°C or higher reflects trader assessment of potential for brief clearing and stronger insolation, whereas the 36.5% on exactly 32°C and 12% on 31°C capture model spread and the moderating influence of recent moisture. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by local meteorological stations, with any late-day thunderstorm activity likely to cap the peak below 33°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 5?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 5?
33°C or higher 50%
32°C 34%
31°C 21%
23°C or below <1%
BARU
$24,929 Vol.
BARU
$24,929 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
21%
32°C
34%
33°C or higher
50%
33°C or higher 50%
32°C 34%
31°C 21%
23°C or below <1%
BARU
$24,929 Vol.
BARU
$24,929 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
23°C or below
$541 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$305 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$401 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,080 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,438 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,483 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$8,183 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,172 Vol.
21%
32°C
$3,881 Vol.
34%
33°C or higher
$4,063 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a peak near 32–33°C today due to Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, where September afternoons typically reach climatological highs of 30–32°C amid high humidity and light winds.** Current observations show morning temperatures climbing through the upper 20s°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, while ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate an afternoon maximum of 30–32°C depending on cloud cover and any convective cooling. The 52.5% probability on 33°C or higher reflects trader assessment of potential for brief clearing and stronger insolation, whereas the 36.5% on exactly 32°C and 12% on 31°C capture model spread and the moderating influence of recent moisture. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by local meteorological stations, with any late-day thunderstorm activity likely to cap the peak below 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$24,929Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a peak near 32–33°C today due to Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, where September afternoons typically reach climatological highs of 30–32°C amid high humidity and light winds.** Current observations show morning temperatures climbing through the upper 20s°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, while ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate an afternoon maximum of 30–32°C depending on cloud cover and any convective cooling. The 52.5% probability on 33°C or higher reflects trader assessment of potential for brief clearing and stronger insolation, whereas the 36.5% on exactly 32°C and 12% on 31°C capture model spread and the moderating influence of recent moisture. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by local meteorological stations, with any late-day thunderstorm activity likely to cap the peak below 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,929Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor a peak near 32–33°C today due to Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, where September afternoons typically reach climatological highs of 30–32°C amid high humidity and light winds.** Current observations show morning temperatures climbing through the upper 20s°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, while ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate an afternoon maximum of 30–32°C depending on cloud cover and any convective cooling. The 52.5% probability on 33°C or higher reflects trader assessment of potential for brief clearing and stronger insolation, whereas the 36.5% on exactly 32°C and 12% on 31°C capture model spread and the moderating influence of recent moisture. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by local meteorological stations, with any late-day thunderstorm activity likely to cap the peak below 33°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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