Recent forecasts from Panamanian meteorological authorities and regional models point to a daily maximum near 30–31°C in Panama City on September 20, consistent with the market’s leading 31°C (39.5%) and 30°C (26.5%) outcomes. Persistent El Niño conditions have produced above-average sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific, elevating baseline air temperatures by 1–2°C while the Intertropical Convergence Zone sustains high humidity and afternoon convective activity. Scattered thunderstorms, expected to develop after midday, typically limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping most model runs below 33°C. Historical September normals average 29°C, so the current setup reflects a modest warm anomaly tempered by seasonal rainfall patterns. Updated model guidance and any shifts in storm timing over the next 24 hours remain the primary near-term variables that could adjust implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Panama City on September 20?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 20?
31°C 40%
30°C 27%
32°C 15%
29°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
15%
30°C
27%
31°C
40%
32°C
15%
33°C
14%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
30°C 27%
32°C 15%
29°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
24°C or below
$16 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$66 Vol.
15%
30°C
$30 Vol.
27%
31°C
$115 Vol.
40%
32°C
$11 Vol.
15%
33°C
$0 Vol.
14%
34°C or higher
$26 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Panamanian meteorological authorities and regional models point to a daily maximum near 30–31°C in Panama City on September 20, consistent with the market’s leading 31°C (39.5%) and 30°C (26.5%) outcomes. Persistent El Niño conditions have produced above-average sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific, elevating baseline air temperatures by 1–2°C while the Intertropical Convergence Zone sustains high humidity and afternoon convective activity. Scattered thunderstorms, expected to develop after midday, typically limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping most model runs below 33°C. Historical September normals average 29°C, so the current setup reflects a modest warm anomaly tempered by seasonal rainfall patterns. Updated model guidance and any shifts in storm timing over the next 24 hours remain the primary near-term variables that could adjust implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$366Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Panamanian meteorological authorities and regional models point to a daily maximum near 30–31°C in Panama City on September 20, consistent with the market’s leading 31°C (39.5%) and 30°C (26.5%) outcomes. Persistent El Niño conditions have produced above-average sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific, elevating baseline air temperatures by 1–2°C while the Intertropical Convergence Zone sustains high humidity and afternoon convective activity. Scattered thunderstorms, expected to develop after midday, typically limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping most model runs below 33°C. Historical September normals average 29°C, so the current setup reflects a modest warm anomaly tempered by seasonal rainfall patterns. Updated model guidance and any shifts in storm timing over the next 24 hours remain the primary near-term variables that could adjust implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$366Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Panamanian meteorological authorities and regional models point to a daily maximum near 30–31°C in Panama City on September 20, consistent with the market’s leading 31°C (39.5%) and 30°C (26.5%) outcomes. Persistent El Niño conditions have produced above-average sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific, elevating baseline air temperatures by 1–2°C while the Intertropical Convergence Zone sustains high humidity and afternoon convective activity. Scattered thunderstorms, expected to develop after midday, typically limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping most model runs below 33°C. Historical September normals average 29°C, so the current setup reflects a modest warm anomaly tempered by seasonal rainfall patterns. Updated model guidance and any shifts in storm timing over the next 24 hours remain the primary near-term variables that could adjust implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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