Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and DWD point to a high near 21°C on August 21 in Munich amid increasing cloud cover and passing showers that limit daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS create the close market clustering around 21–22°C by showing modest uncertainty in exact peak timing, frontal timing, and boundary-layer mixing. Historical late-August climatology favors highs near 22°C, yet the current pattern of Atlantic influence and reduced insolation tilts probabilities slightly cooler while leaving room for brief clearing to push readings to 23°C. Traders weigh these short-range model updates against typical observation uncertainties at official stations, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum from DWD data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on August 21?
21°C 32%
22°C 23%
20°C 16%
23°C 11%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
9%
20°C
16%
21°C
32%
22°C
23%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
6%
21°C 32%
22°C 23%
20°C 16%
23°C 11%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
9%
20°C
16%
21°C
32%
22°C
23%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and DWD point to a high near 21°C on August 21 in Munich amid increasing cloud cover and passing showers that limit daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS create the close market clustering around 21–22°C by showing modest uncertainty in exact peak timing, frontal timing, and boundary-layer mixing. Historical late-August climatology favors highs near 22°C, yet the current pattern of Atlantic influence and reduced insolation tilts probabilities slightly cooler while leaving room for brief clearing to push readings to 23°C. Traders weigh these short-range model updates against typical observation uncertainties at official stations, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum from DWD data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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