Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a typical late-August pattern for Miami, with abundant tropical moisture, light winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms expected to develop on August 20. These conditions support afternoon highs centered in the low-to-mid 90s°F, consistent with the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Sea-breeze convergence and limited cloud cover before convection allow temperatures to reach these levels, while storm timing and intensity introduce modest uncertainty that caps the chance of extremes above 96°F. Historical August normals near 89–90°F provide context, but recent model runs show slightly above-average warmth persisting without major steering features to alter the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on August 20?
92-93°F 51%
94-95°F 37%
96-97°F 8%
90-91°F 7%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
51%
94-95°F
37%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 51%
94-95°F 37%
96-97°F 8%
90-91°F 7%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
51%
94-95°F
37%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a typical late-August pattern for Miami, with abundant tropical moisture, light winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms expected to develop on August 20. These conditions support afternoon highs centered in the low-to-mid 90s°F, consistent with the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins. Sea-breeze convergence and limited cloud cover before convection allow temperatures to reach these levels, while storm timing and intensity introduce modest uncertainty that caps the chance of extremes above 96°F. Historical August normals near 89–90°F provide context, but recent model runs show slightly above-average warmth persisting without major steering features to alter the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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