Recent Indian Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs favor a daytime high near 32°C in Lucknow on September 19, reflecting persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity near 80 percent, and scattered afternoon cloud cover that limits surface heating. Light winds and a chance of isolated thunderstorms further cap maximum temperatures, aligning with the market’s leading 32°C and 31°C outcomes. Historical September averages hover around 33–34°C, yet current steering patterns and elevated dew points are suppressing peaks relative to drier periods. Traders appear to weigh these near-term synoptic conditions more heavily than longer-range warming signals, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from Lucknow’s primary station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 19?
32°C 35%
31°C 28%
33°C 21%
30°C 13%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
13%
31°C
28%
32°C
35%
33°C
21%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 35%
31°C 28%
33°C 21%
30°C 13%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
13%
31°C
28%
32°C
35%
33°C
21%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Indian Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs favor a daytime high near 32°C in Lucknow on September 19, reflecting persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity near 80 percent, and scattered afternoon cloud cover that limits surface heating. Light winds and a chance of isolated thunderstorms further cap maximum temperatures, aligning with the market’s leading 32°C and 31°C outcomes. Historical September averages hover around 33–34°C, yet current steering patterns and elevated dew points are suppressing peaks relative to drier periods. Traders appear to weigh these near-term synoptic conditions more heavily than longer-range warming signals, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from Lucknow’s primary station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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