Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and building high pressure will drive London’s peak temperature on September 5 into the narrow 22–23 °C band. These conditions limit both strong daytime heating and significant cooling, with the urban heat island effect adding roughly 1 °C above rural surroundings. Minor differences in afternoon cloud thickness or wind speed explain the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 24 °C or 21 °C reflect limited model spread and historical September variability around a 20–21 °C climatological mean. Updated short-range guidance later today could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on September 5?
Highest temperature in London on September 5?
23°C 45%
22°C 44%
21°C 8%
24°C 8%
BARU
$32,954 Vol.
BARU
$32,954 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
8%
22°C
44%
23°C
45%
24°C
8%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 45%
22°C 44%
21°C 8%
24°C 8%
BARU
$32,954 Vol.
BARU
$32,954 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
$1,073 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,748 Vol.
1%
21°C
$3,767 Vol.
8%
22°C
$8,125 Vol.
44%
23°C
$6,644 Vol.
45%
24°C
$3,969 Vol.
8%
25°C
$1,281 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,198 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,491 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$3,411 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and building high pressure will drive London’s peak temperature on September 5 into the narrow 22–23 °C band. These conditions limit both strong daytime heating and significant cooling, with the urban heat island effect adding roughly 1 °C above rural surroundings. Minor differences in afternoon cloud thickness or wind speed explain the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 24 °C or 21 °C reflect limited model spread and historical September variability around a 20–21 °C climatological mean. Updated short-range guidance later today could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$32,954Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and building high pressure will drive London’s peak temperature on September 5 into the narrow 22–23 °C band. These conditions limit both strong daytime heating and significant cooling, with the urban heat island effect adding roughly 1 °C above rural surroundings. Minor differences in afternoon cloud thickness or wind speed explain the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 24 °C or 21 °C reflect limited model spread and historical September variability around a 20–21 °C climatological mean. Updated short-range guidance later today could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,954Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and building high pressure will drive London’s peak temperature on September 5 into the narrow 22–23 °C band. These conditions limit both strong daytime heating and significant cooling, with the urban heat island effect adding roughly 1 °C above rural surroundings. Minor differences in afternoon cloud thickness or wind speed explain the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 24 °C or 21 °C reflect limited model spread and historical September variability around a 20–21 °C climatological mean. Updated short-range guidance later today could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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