Trader consensus centers on 33–35°C as the most likely peak for Chengdu on September 5, with 34°C holding a narrow edge in market-implied odds. Official forecasts and model runs indicate mostly clear skies and light southerly flow under regional high pressure, supporting daytime heating to the low-to-mid 30s Celsius after morning lows near 23–24°C. Hourly profiles show temperatures climbing through the afternoon, with peak readings typically occurring 13:00–15:00 local time; slight differences in model timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the close spread between 33°C and 35°C outcomes. Recent days have featured similar subsidence-driven warmth with highs of 32–34°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the primary Chengdu meteorological station, where small variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the final value by 1°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 5?
35°C 38%
34°C 37%
33°C 14%
36°C 7%
BARU
$17,295 Vol.
BARU
$17,295 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
14%
34°C
37%
35°C
38%
36°C
7%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 38%
34°C 37%
33°C 14%
36°C 7%
BARU
$17,295 Vol.
BARU
$17,295 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
$1,156 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,113 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$873 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$910 Vol.
2%
32°C
$1,124 Vol.
4%
33°C
$1,104 Vol.
14%
34°C
$1,693 Vol.
37%
35°C
$2,259 Vol.
38%
36°C
$1,278 Vol.
7%
37°C
$564 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$4,221 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 33–35°C as the most likely peak for Chengdu on September 5, with 34°C holding a narrow edge in market-implied odds. Official forecasts and model runs indicate mostly clear skies and light southerly flow under regional high pressure, supporting daytime heating to the low-to-mid 30s Celsius after morning lows near 23–24°C. Hourly profiles show temperatures climbing through the afternoon, with peak readings typically occurring 13:00–15:00 local time; slight differences in model timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the close spread between 33°C and 35°C outcomes. Recent days have featured similar subsidence-driven warmth with highs of 32–34°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the primary Chengdu meteorological station, where small variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the final value by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$17,295Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 33–35°C as the most likely peak for Chengdu on September 5, with 34°C holding a narrow edge in market-implied odds. Official forecasts and model runs indicate mostly clear skies and light southerly flow under regional high pressure, supporting daytime heating to the low-to-mid 30s Celsius after morning lows near 23–24°C. Hourly profiles show temperatures climbing through the afternoon, with peak readings typically occurring 13:00–15:00 local time; slight differences in model timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the close spread between 33°C and 35°C outcomes. Recent days have featured similar subsidence-driven warmth with highs of 32–34°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the primary Chengdu meteorological station, where small variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the final value by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,295Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 33–35°C as the most likely peak for Chengdu on September 5, with 34°C holding a narrow edge in market-implied odds. Official forecasts and model runs indicate mostly clear skies and light southerly flow under regional high pressure, supporting daytime heating to the low-to-mid 30s Celsius after morning lows near 23–24°C. Hourly profiles show temperatures climbing through the afternoon, with peak readings typically occurring 13:00–15:00 local time; slight differences in model timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the close spread between 33°C and 35°C outcomes. Recent days have featured similar subsidence-driven warmth with highs of 32–34°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the primary Chengdu meteorological station, where small variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the final value by 1°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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