The Hamilton East—Stoney Creek by-election, scheduled for September 3 after PC MPP Neil Lumsden’s retirement, features a competitive three-way contest among Liberal candidate Heino Doessing, PC nominee and local councillor Jeff Beattie, and NDP contender Monique Taylor, with several minor-party options also on the ballot. Trader pricing reflects a fragmented field where local profiles, party machinery, and short campaign timelines keep probabilities closely matched. Recent positioning around the Ontario Land Tribunal’s urban boundary ruling has sharpened contrasts, with opposition candidates highlighting farmland and growth concerns while the PC side emphasizes continuity with the Ford government’s housing and infrastructure approach. Advance voting has begun, and any late shifts in turnout or issue salience among east Hamilton and Stoney Creek voters could alter the balance before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner
Heino Doessing 45%
Jeff Beattie 24%
Monique Taylor 20%
Heather Curnew <1%
$16,190 Vol.
$16,190 Vol.
Heino Doessing
45%
Jeff Beattie
24%
Monique Taylor
20%
Heather Curnew
<1%
Wieslawa Derlatka
<1%
Pascale Marchand
<1%
Heino Doessing 45%
Jeff Beattie 24%
Monique Taylor 20%
Heather Curnew <1%
$16,190 Vol.
$16,190 Vol.
Heino Doessing
45%
Jeff Beattie
24%
Monique Taylor
20%
Heather Curnew
<1%
Wieslawa Derlatka
<1%
Pascale Marchand
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hamilton East—Stoney Creek by-election, scheduled for September 3 after PC MPP Neil Lumsden’s retirement, features a competitive three-way contest among Liberal candidate Heino Doessing, PC nominee and local councillor Jeff Beattie, and NDP contender Monique Taylor, with several minor-party options also on the ballot. Trader pricing reflects a fragmented field where local profiles, party machinery, and short campaign timelines keep probabilities closely matched. Recent positioning around the Ontario Land Tribunal’s urban boundary ruling has sharpened contrasts, with opposition candidates highlighting farmland and growth concerns while the PC side emphasizes continuity with the Ford government’s housing and infrastructure approach. Advance voting has begun, and any late shifts in turnout or issue salience among east Hamilton and Stoney Creek voters could alter the balance before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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