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Politik·Kanada

Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner

icon for Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner
Politik·Kanada

Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner

Ahsanul Hafiz 67%

Fatima Shaban 31%

Noor Tarun <1%

Mark Bekkering <1%

Polymarket

$12,437 Vol.

Ahsanul Hafiz 67%

Fatima Shaban 31%

Noor Tarun <1%

Mark Bekkering <1%

Polymarket

$12,437 Vol.

icon for Ahsanul Hafiz

Ahsanul Hafiz

$4,304 Vol.

67%

icon for Fatima Shaban

Fatima Shaban

$6,377 Vol.

31%

icon for Noor Tarun

Noor Tarun

$570 Vol.

1%

icon for Mark Bekkering

Mark Bekkering

$611 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chris Rees

Chris Rees

$574 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).Ahsanul Hafiz leads trader consensus at 67% in the September 3, 2026, Ontario provincial by-election for Scarborough Southwest, ahead of Fatima Shaban at 31%, with other declared candidates such as Noor Tarun, Mark Bekkering, and Chris Rees trading at minimal levels. The Liberal nominee secured the riding’s nomination in May after a narrow three-ballot victory over a sitting federal MP, demonstrating organized party support and fundraising capacity as a local business owner. The riding’s 2025 results showed the NDP ahead of the PCs and Liberals, yet the by-election occurs amid visible Liberal campaign activity, including sign installations and voter outreach. Shaban, nominated by the NDP in April as a community organizer, faces a competitive three-way contest with the PCs fielding a physician candidate. Traders appear to price in Hafiz’s organizational edge and the short timeline to election day as the primary drivers of current implied probabilities.

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Volume
$12,437
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 5:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).Ahsanul Hafiz leads trader consensus at 67% in the September 3, 2026, Ontario provincial by-election for Scarborough Southwest, ahead of Fatima Shaban at 31%, with other declared candidates such as Noor Tarun, Mark Bekkering, and Chris Rees trading at minimal levels. The Liberal nominee secured the riding’s nomination in May after a narrow three-ballot victory over a sitting federal MP, demonstrating organized party support and fundraising capacity as a local business owner. The riding’s 2025 results showed the NDP ahead of the PCs and Liberals, yet the by-election occurs amid visible Liberal campaign activity, including sign installations and voter outreach. Shaban, nominated by the NDP in April as a community organizer, faces a competitive three-way contest with the PCs fielding a physician candidate. Traders appear to price in Hafiz’s organizational edge and the short timeline to election day as the primary drivers of current implied probabilities.

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Volume
$12,437
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 5:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Ahsanul Hafiz" di 67%, diikuti oleh "Fatima Shaban" di 31%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 67¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 67% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $12.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 20, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner" adalah "Ahsanul Hafiz" di 67%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 67% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Fatima Shaban" di 31%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.