Recent ECB staff projections, revised upward to 0.9% euro area GDP growth for 2026 on September 10, alongside Q2 data showing 1.2% year-over-year expansion, anchor trader sentiment toward the 1.0-2.0% range. Resilience from defense spending, AI investment, and exports has offset Middle East-related energy pressures, supporting the 67% market-implied odds on that bin. Persistent inflation at a projected 3.0% for 2026 prompted a 25-basis-point ECB rate hike, while France’s lowered forecast to 0.5% and Italy’s 1% outlook highlight downside risks that sustain 31.3% probability on 0-1.0%. Labor markets remain stable near 6.4% unemployment, with upcoming data releases likely to refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiEurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
1.0-2.0% 67%
0-1.0% 31.3%
<0% <1%
3.0-4.0% <1%
$41,913 Vol.
$41,913 Vol.
Jan 30, 2027
<0%
<1%
0-1.0%
31%
1.0-2.0%
67%
2.0-3.0%
<1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
<1%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0%+
<1%
1.0-2.0% 67%
0-1.0% 31.3%
<0% <1%
3.0-4.0% <1%
$41,913 Vol.
$41,913 Vol.
Jan 30, 2027
<0%
$2,498 Vol.
<1%
0-1.0%
$13,064 Vol.
31%
1.0-2.0%
$11,312 Vol.
67%
2.0-3.0%
$1,999 Vol.
<1%
3.0-4.0%
$1,934 Vol.
<1%
4.0-5.0%
$3,059 Vol.
<1%
5.0-6.0%
$2,011 Vol.
<1%
6.0-7.0%
$3,481 Vol.
<1%
7.0%+
$2,554 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECB staff projections, revised upward to 0.9% euro area GDP growth for 2026 on September 10, alongside Q2 data showing 1.2% year-over-year expansion, anchor trader sentiment toward the 1.0-2.0% range. Resilience from defense spending, AI investment, and exports has offset Middle East-related energy pressures, supporting the 67% market-implied odds on that bin. Persistent inflation at a projected 3.0% for 2026 prompted a 25-basis-point ECB rate hike, while France’s lowered forecast to 0.5% and Italy’s 1% outlook highlight downside risks that sustain 31.3% probability on 0-1.0%. Labor markets remain stable near 6.4% unemployment, with upcoming data releases likely to refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Volume
$41,913Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECB staff projections, revised upward to 0.9% euro area GDP growth for 2026 on September 10, alongside Q2 data showing 1.2% year-over-year expansion, anchor trader sentiment toward the 1.0-2.0% range. Resilience from defense spending, AI investment, and exports has offset Middle East-related energy pressures, supporting the 67% market-implied odds on that bin. Persistent inflation at a projected 3.0% for 2026 prompted a 25-basis-point ECB rate hike, while France’s lowered forecast to 0.5% and Italy’s 1% outlook highlight downside risks that sustain 31.3% probability on 0-1.0%. Labor markets remain stable near 6.4% unemployment, with upcoming data releases likely to refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$41,913Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent ECB staff projections, revised upward to 0.9% euro area GDP growth for 2026 on September 10, alongside Q2 data showing 1.2% year-over-year expansion, anchor trader sentiment toward the 1.0-2.0% range. Resilience from defense spending, AI investment, and exports has offset Middle East-related energy pressures, supporting the 67% market-implied odds on that bin. Persistent inflation at a projected 3.0% for 2026 prompted a 25-basis-point ECB rate hike, while France’s lowered forecast to 0.5% and Italy’s 1% outlook highlight downside risks that sustain 31.3% probability on 0-1.0%. Labor markets remain stable near 6.4% unemployment, with upcoming data releases likely to refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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