**Recent yen depreciation toward 160 per dollar has revived speculation of further US-Japan currency intervention.** After the coordinated July-August 2026 operation—where Japan spent a record 15.4 trillion yen and the US participated, lifting the yen from near 164 to around 155—the currency has retraced roughly half those gains. USD/JPY traded near 156.27 on September 4, 2026, after brief spikes above 160 that historically heighten intervention risk. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama reaffirmed ongoing coordination for “orderly” moves in late August/early September, while signaling readiness to act against disorderly conditions. The wide US-Japan interest rate differential, Bank of Japan policy expectations ahead of its September 17-18 meeting, and yen-driven import cost pressures remain the core drivers of trader positioning on intervention timing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBARU
Sep 30, 2026
September 30, 2026
18%
December 31, 2026
41%
$0.00 Vol.
September 30, 2026
$0 Vol.
18%
December 31, 2026
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly.
Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026.
Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.**Recent yen depreciation toward 160 per dollar has revived speculation of further US-Japan currency intervention.** After the coordinated July-August 2026 operation—where Japan spent a record 15.4 trillion yen and the US participated, lifting the yen from near 164 to around 155—the currency has retraced roughly half those gains. USD/JPY traded near 156.27 on September 4, 2026, after brief spikes above 160 that historically heighten intervention risk. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama reaffirmed ongoing coordination for “orderly” moves in late August/early September, while signaling readiness to act against disorderly conditions. The wide US-Japan interest rate differential, Bank of Japan policy expectations ahead of its September 17-18 meeting, and yen-driven import cost pressures remain the core drivers of trader positioning on intervention timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly.
Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026.
Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.
A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly.
Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026.
Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 8:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly.
Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026.
Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.**Recent yen depreciation toward 160 per dollar has revived speculation of further US-Japan currency intervention.** After the coordinated July-August 2026 operation—where Japan spent a record 15.4 trillion yen and the US participated, lifting the yen from near 164 to around 155—the currency has retraced roughly half those gains. USD/JPY traded near 156.27 on September 4, 2026, after brief spikes above 160 that historically heighten intervention risk. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama reaffirmed ongoing coordination for “orderly” moves in late August/early September, while signaling readiness to act against disorderly conditions. The wide US-Japan interest rate differential, Bank of Japan policy expectations ahead of its September 17-18 meeting, and yen-driven import cost pressures remain the core drivers of trader positioning on intervention timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly.
Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026.
Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.
A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly.
Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026.
Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 8:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent yen depreciation toward 160 per dollar has revived speculation of further US-Japan currency intervention.** After the coordinated July-August 2026 operation—where Japan spent a record 15.4 trillion yen and the US participated, lifting the yen from near 164 to around 155—the currency has retraced roughly half those gains. USD/JPY traded near 156.27 on September 4, 2026, after brief spikes above 160 that historically heighten intervention risk. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama reaffirmed ongoing coordination for “orderly” moves in late August/early September, while signaling readiness to act against disorderly conditions. The wide US-Japan interest rate differential, Bank of Japan policy expectations ahead of its September 17-18 meeting, and yen-driven import cost pressures remain the core drivers of trader positioning on intervention timing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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