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icon for Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

icon for Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

BARU
Polymarket

$5,024 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for October 31

October 31

$609 Vol.

57%

icon for December 31

December 31

$534 Vol.

63%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Ongoing USDA surveillance and sterile insect releases have contained New World screwworm detections primarily to Texas livestock since the first confirmed calf case in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, with only a single New Mexico detection in a dog and no verified livestock cases outside Texas as of early September 2026.** The parasite’s northward spread from a 2023 resurgence in Panama and Central America reached southern Mexico by late 2024 before crossing into Texas amid relaxed regional controls. Authorities have responded with quarantines, animal movement restrictions, over 1,000 drone flights, thousands of traps, and weekly releases of tens of millions of sterile flies via the sterile insect technique, the method that achieved eradication decades ago. Confirmed U.S. cases reached 45 by mid-August, nearly all in Texas cattle, sheep, and goats. Trader focus centers on whether intensified border and surveillance measures, plus seasonal cooling, will prevent establishment or jumps to other states before additional data releases or model updates clarify spread risk.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$5,024
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Ongoing USDA surveillance and sterile insect releases have contained New World screwworm detections primarily to Texas livestock since the first confirmed calf case in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, with only a single New Mexico detection in a dog and no verified livestock cases outside Texas as of early September 2026.** The parasite’s northward spread from a 2023 resurgence in Panama and Central America reached southern Mexico by late 2024 before crossing into Texas amid relaxed regional controls. Authorities have responded with quarantines, animal movement restrictions, over 1,000 drone flights, thousands of traps, and weekly releases of tens of millions of sterile flies via the sterile insect technique, the method that achieved eradication decades ago. Confirmed U.S. cases reached 45 by mid-August, nearly all in Texas cattle, sheep, and goats. Trader focus centers on whether intensified border and surveillance measures, plus seasonal cooling, will prevent establishment or jumps to other states before additional data releases or model updates clarify spread risk.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$5,024
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by..." adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "December 31" di 63%, diikuti oleh "October 31" di 57%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 63¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 63% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by..." adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 9, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by..." adalah "December 31" di 63%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 63% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "October 31" di 57%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by..." mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.