Current surveillance from agencies like the CDC and WHO shows no pathogens meeting pandemic criteria, with only localized bacterial and viral outbreaks such as Salmonella clusters, low-risk hantavirus clusters, and contained Bundibugyo virus activity in parts of Africa. COVID-19 continues at endemic levels with very low emergency visits despite modest Rt estimates above 1 in recent U.S. data, while avian influenza and other zoonotic threats lack sustained human-to-human transmission. Trader consensus at 84% for no new pandemic before 2028 reflects these stable conditions, historical inter-pandemic intervals, and ongoing global monitoring that has not flagged imminent spillover risks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNew pandemic before 2028?
17% peluang
BARU
BARU
Jan 1, 2028
17% peluang
BARU
BARU
Jan 1, 2028
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Current surveillance from agencies like the CDC and WHO shows no pathogens meeting pandemic criteria, with only localized bacterial and viral outbreaks such as Salmonella clusters, low-risk hantavirus clusters, and contained Bundibugyo virus activity in parts of Africa. COVID-19 continues at endemic levels with very low emergency visits despite modest Rt estimates above 1 in recent U.S. data, while avian influenza and other zoonotic threats lack sustained human-to-human transmission. Trader consensus at 84% for no new pandemic before 2028 reflects these stable conditions, historical inter-pandemic intervals, and ongoing global monitoring that has not flagged imminent spillover risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Volume
$2,400Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2028Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Current surveillance from agencies like the CDC and WHO shows no pathogens meeting pandemic criteria, with only localized bacterial and viral outbreaks such as Salmonella clusters, low-risk hantavirus clusters, and contained Bundibugyo virus activity in parts of Africa. COVID-19 continues at endemic levels with very low emergency visits despite modest Rt estimates above 1 in recent U.S. data, while avian influenza and other zoonotic threats lack sustained human-to-human transmission. Trader consensus at 84% for no new pandemic before 2028 reflects these stable conditions, historical inter-pandemic intervals, and ongoing global monitoring that has not flagged imminent spillover risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Volume
$2,400Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2028Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Current surveillance from agencies like the CDC and WHO shows no pathogens meeting pandemic criteria, with only localized bacterial and viral outbreaks such as Salmonella clusters, low-risk hantavirus clusters, and contained Bundibugyo virus activity in parts of Africa. COVID-19 continues at endemic levels with very low emergency visits despite modest Rt estimates above 1 in recent U.S. data, while avian influenza and other zoonotic threats lack sustained human-to-human transmission. Trader consensus at 84% for no new pandemic before 2028 reflects these stable conditions, historical inter-pandemic intervals, and ongoing global monitoring that has not flagged imminent spillover risks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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