Sustained disinflation under Argentina’s fiscal surplus and crawling-peg exchange-rate policy forms the core driver behind the near-even 50.1% and 44.5% odds on the 30.0-34.9% versus 25-29.9% brackets for full-year 2026 CPI. Monthly prints have cooled to 1.7% in August—the lowest in 14 months—leaving the trailing twelve-month rate at 33.5% while year-to-date accumulation stands near 21%. Analyst surveys from the central bank and BBVA project year-end inflation around 29-30%, yet traders assign material weight to both the upper-20s and low-30s outcomes, underscoring uncertainty over whether sub-2% monthly readings persist through December. Key swing factors include exchange-rate stability, any adjustment to the 1% monthly crawl, and absence of renewed energy or regulated-price shocks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui30.0-34.9% 50.1%
25-29.9% 45%
35–39.9% 2.5%
<20% 1.8%
$46,335 Vol.
$46,335 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<20%
2%
20-24.9%
1%
25-29.9%
45%
30.0-34.9%
50%
35–39.9%
3%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
2%
30.0-34.9% 50.1%
25-29.9% 45%
35–39.9% 2.5%
<20% 1.8%
$46,335 Vol.
$46,335 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<20%
$4,653 Vol.
2%
20-24.9%
$3,231 Vol.
1%
25-29.9%
$13,901 Vol.
45%
30.0-34.9%
$14,009 Vol.
50%
35–39.9%
$3,531 Vol.
3%
40-44.9%
$3,564 Vol.
1%
45%+
$3,445 Vol.
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Sustained disinflation under Argentina’s fiscal surplus and crawling-peg exchange-rate policy forms the core driver behind the near-even 50.1% and 44.5% odds on the 30.0-34.9% versus 25-29.9% brackets for full-year 2026 CPI. Monthly prints have cooled to 1.7% in August—the lowest in 14 months—leaving the trailing twelve-month rate at 33.5% while year-to-date accumulation stands near 21%. Analyst surveys from the central bank and BBVA project year-end inflation around 29-30%, yet traders assign material weight to both the upper-20s and low-30s outcomes, underscoring uncertainty over whether sub-2% monthly readings persist through December. Key swing factors include exchange-rate stability, any adjustment to the 1% monthly crawl, and absence of renewed energy or regulated-price shocks.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$46,335Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 10, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Sustained disinflation under Argentina’s fiscal surplus and crawling-peg exchange-rate policy forms the core driver behind the near-even 50.1% and 44.5% odds on the 30.0-34.9% versus 25-29.9% brackets for full-year 2026 CPI. Monthly prints have cooled to 1.7% in August—the lowest in 14 months—leaving the trailing twelve-month rate at 33.5% while year-to-date accumulation stands near 21%. Analyst surveys from the central bank and BBVA project year-end inflation around 29-30%, yet traders assign material weight to both the upper-20s and low-30s outcomes, underscoring uncertainty over whether sub-2% monthly readings persist through December. Key swing factors include exchange-rate stability, any adjustment to the 1% monthly crawl, and absence of renewed energy or regulated-price shocks.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$46,335Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 10, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sustained disinflation under Argentina’s fiscal surplus and crawling-peg exchange-rate policy forms the core driver behind the near-even 50.1% and 44.5% odds on the 30.0-34.9% versus 25-29.9% brackets for full-year 2026 CPI. Monthly prints have cooled to 1.7% in August—the lowest in 14 months—leaving the trailing twelve-month rate at 33.5% while year-to-date accumulation stands near 21%. Analyst surveys from the central bank and BBVA project year-end inflation around 29-30%, yet traders assign material weight to both the upper-20s and low-30s outcomes, underscoring uncertainty over whether sub-2% monthly readings persist through December. Key swing factors include exchange-rate stability, any adjustment to the 1% monthly crawl, and absence of renewed energy or regulated-price shocks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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