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icon for क्या अमेरिका आधिकारिक तौर पर ईरान के खिलाफ युद्ध की घोषणा करेगा...?

क्या अमेरिका आधिकारिक तौर पर ईरान के खिलाफ युद्ध की घोषणा करेगा...?

icon for क्या अमेरिका आधिकारिक तौर पर ईरान के खिलाफ युद्ध की घोषणा करेगा...?

क्या अमेरिका आधिकारिक तौर पर ईरान के खिलाफ युद्ध की घोषणा करेगा...?

दिस 31

दिस 31

$7,765,902 वॉल्यूम

31 दिस, 2026
Polymarket

$7,765,902 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

31 दिसंबर

$793,268 वॉल्यूम

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran hostilities have persisted since February 2026 without a congressional declaration of war, with the most recent major developments centered on renewed July strikes over Iranian attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and subsequent August diplomatic efforts to finalize a deal reopening the waterway through Oman-mediated talks. President Trump has signaled openness to negotiations while demanding compensation and limits on Iran's nuclear program, as Tehran shifts toward an offensive posture and conditions any de-escalation on sanctions relief and blockade removal. Congress retains sole authority to issue a formal declaration under the Constitution, though recent conflicts have often proceeded via executive action and authorizations for military force. Traders weigh the risk of further escalation against active diplomatic channels and historical patterns favoring limited engagements over declared wars.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.

The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$7,765,902
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran hostilities have persisted since February 2026 without a congressional declaration of war, with the most recent major developments centered on renewed July strikes over Iranian attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and subsequent August diplomatic efforts to finalize a deal reopening the waterway through Oman-mediated talks. President Trump has signaled openness to negotiations while demanding compensation and limits on Iran's nuclear program, as Tehran shifts toward an offensive posture and conditions any de-escalation on sanctions relief and blockade removal. Congress retains sole authority to issue a formal declaration under the Constitution, though recent conflicts have often proceeded via executive action and authorizations for military force. Traders weigh the risk of further escalation against active diplomatic channels and historical patterns favoring limited engagements over declared wars.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.

The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$7,765,902
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

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"क्या अमेरिका आधिकारिक तौर पर ईरान के खिलाफ युद्ध की घोषणा करेगा...?" Polymarket पर 3 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 31 दिसंबर 3% (3¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 31 मार्च 0% पर है।

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