Elevated crude oil prices near $83 per barrel for WTI, supported by geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, continue to anchor U.S. regular gasoline averages around $4.10 per gallon as of late August 2026. Traders on Polymarket are pricing the probability that national averages reach specific thresholds by September 30 based on this backdrop, with outcomes hinging on near-term supply disruptions, refinery utilization rates, and seasonal demand patterns. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital bets on whether crude benchmarks sustain current levels or ease amid potential de-escalation and inventory data. Key upcoming catalysts include weekly EIA petroleum reports, any shifts in Middle East shipping flows, and the final AAA readings before month-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
30 सित, 2026
↑ $4.50
32%
↑ $4.40
54%
↓ $4.00
22%
↓ $3.90
11%
↓ $3.70
7%
↓ $3.50
6%
$3,545 वॉल्यूम
↑ $4.50
$647 वॉल्यूम
32%
↑ $4.40
$17 वॉल्यूम
54%
↓ $4.00
$75 वॉल्यूम
22%
↓ $3.90
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
↓ $3.70
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
↓ $3.50
$60 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil prices near $83 per barrel for WTI, supported by geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, continue to anchor U.S. regular gasoline averages around $4.10 per gallon as of late August 2026. Traders on Polymarket are pricing the probability that national averages reach specific thresholds by September 30 based on this backdrop, with outcomes hinging on near-term supply disruptions, refinery utilization rates, and seasonal demand patterns. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital bets on whether crude benchmarks sustain current levels or ease amid potential de-escalation and inventory data. Key upcoming catalysts include weekly EIA petroleum reports, any shifts in Middle East shipping flows, and the final AAA readings before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,545समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://gasprices.aaa.com/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil prices near $83 per barrel for WTI, supported by geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, continue to anchor U.S. regular gasoline averages around $4.10 per gallon as of late August 2026. Traders on Polymarket are pricing the probability that national averages reach specific thresholds by September 30 based on this backdrop, with outcomes hinging on near-term supply disruptions, refinery utilization rates, and seasonal demand patterns. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital bets on whether crude benchmarks sustain current levels or ease amid potential de-escalation and inventory data. Key upcoming catalysts include weekly EIA petroleum reports, any shifts in Middle East shipping flows, and the final AAA readings before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
वॉल्यूम
$3,545समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://gasprices.aaa.com/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Elevated crude oil prices near $83 per barrel for WTI, supported by geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, continue to anchor U.S. regular gasoline averages around $4.10 per gallon as of late August 2026. Traders on Polymarket are pricing the probability that national averages reach specific thresholds by September 30 based on this backdrop, with outcomes hinging on near-term supply disruptions, refinery utilization rates, and seasonal demand patterns. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital bets on whether crude benchmarks sustain current levels or ease amid potential de-escalation and inventory data. Key upcoming catalysts include weekly EIA petroleum reports, any shifts in Middle East shipping flows, and the final AAA readings before month-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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