Recent high-level US-Iran diplomacy, anchored by the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum and June Switzerland talks led by Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf with Qatari and Pakistani mediators, has established technical working groups on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz navigation. Persistent friction over Lebanon deconfliction, IAEA inspections, and implementation timelines has kept channels active through indirect Oman and Qatar routes into August. Trader assessments of attendance by December 31 reflect the 60-day MOU window's expiration, the potential for additional mediated rounds before year-end deadlines, and structural factors such as Senate oversight or executive continuity that could shape participation by senior officials.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$304,963 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
स्टीव विटकॉफ
43%
जेरेड कुशनर
41%
मोहम्मद बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ
42%
अब्बास अराग़ची
34%
इशाक डार
31%
जे.डी. वेंस
31%
काजम घरीबाबादी
24%
निक स्टीवर्ट
20%
मजीद तख्त-रावांजी
18%
बद्र बिन हमद अल बुसेदी
17%
राफेल ग्रोसी
17%
मोहम्मद बिन अब्दुलरहमान अल सानी
15%
डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
14%
मार्को रुबिओ
13%
मसूद पज़ेश्कियन
13%
अहमद वहीदी
11%
पीट हेगसेथ
9%
इस्माइल क़आनी
7%
मोज्तबा खामेनेई
5%
$304,963 वॉल्यूम
स्टीव विटकॉफ
$17,730 वॉल्यूम
43%
जेरेड कुशनर
$14,387 वॉल्यूम
41%
मोहम्मद बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ
$11,943 वॉल्यूम
42%
अब्बास अराग़ची
$7,573 वॉल्यूम
34%
इशाक डार
$17,540 वॉल्यूम
31%
जे.डी. वेंस
$20,976 वॉल्यूम
31%
काजम घरीबाबादी
$16,478 वॉल्यूम
24%
निक स्टीवर्ट
$11,128 वॉल्यूम
20%
मजीद तख्त-रावांजी
$16,946 वॉल्यूम
18%
बद्र बिन हमद अल बुसेदी
$29,145 वॉल्यूम
17%
राफेल ग्रोसी
$18,288 वॉल्यूम
17%
मोहम्मद बिन अब्दुलरहमान अल सानी
$28,743 वॉल्यूम
15%
डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
$7,456 वॉल्यूम
14%
मार्को रुबिओ
$13,311 वॉल्यूम
13%
मसूद पज़ेश्कियन
$19,279 वॉल्यूम
13%
अहमद वहीदी
$7,856 वॉल्यूम
11%
पीट हेगसेथ
$15,413 वॉल्यूम
9%
इस्माइल क़आनी
$10,890 वॉल्यूम
7%
मोज्तबा खामेनेई
$19,880 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent high-level US-Iran diplomacy, anchored by the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum and June Switzerland talks led by Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf with Qatari and Pakistani mediators, has established technical working groups on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz navigation. Persistent friction over Lebanon deconfliction, IAEA inspections, and implementation timelines has kept channels active through indirect Oman and Qatar routes into August. Trader assessments of attendance by December 31 reflect the 60-day MOU window's expiration, the potential for additional mediated rounds before year-end deadlines, and structural factors such as Senate oversight or executive continuity that could shape participation by senior officials.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$304,963समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent high-level US-Iran diplomacy, anchored by the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum and June Switzerland talks led by Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf with Qatari and Pakistani mediators, has established technical working groups on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz navigation. Persistent friction over Lebanon deconfliction, IAEA inspections, and implementation timelines has kept channels active through indirect Oman and Qatar routes into August. Trader assessments of attendance by December 31 reflect the 60-day MOU window's expiration, the potential for additional mediated rounds before year-end deadlines, and structural factors such as Senate oversight or executive continuity that could shape participation by senior officials.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$304,963समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent high-level US-Iran diplomacy, anchored by the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum and June Switzerland talks led by Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf with Qatari and Pakistani mediators, has established technical working groups on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz navigation. Persistent friction over Lebanon deconfliction, IAEA inspections, and implementation timelines has kept channels active through indirect Oman and Qatar routes into August. Trader assessments of attendance by December 31 reflect the 60-day MOU window's expiration, the potential for additional mediated rounds before year-end deadlines, and structural factors such as Senate oversight or executive continuity that could shape participation by senior officials.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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