Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 15°C for Wellington on September 2 amid northwesterly winds and mostly sunny conditions, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily highs typically range 13–16°C. This positions 16°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with secondary support for 15°C or 17°C reflecting minor model spread in temperature and wind strength. No major synoptic shifts or cold-air intrusions have emerged in the latest runs to alter the narrow band of expected values, and the market-implied odds closely track the observed forecast envelope for this date. Updated model guidance closer to the event will provide the next key data point for any probability adjustments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
2 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16°C 69%
15°C 18%
17°C 14%
18°C 4%
नया
नया
2 सित, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
18%
16°C
69%
17°C
14%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 69%
15°C 18%
17°C 14%
18°C 4%
नया
नया
2 सित, 2026
10°C or below
$295 वॉल्यूम
1%
11°C
$305 वॉल्यूम
1%
12°C
$397 वॉल्यूम
<1%
13°C
$258 वॉल्यूम
1%
14°C
$285 वॉल्यूम
2%
15°C
$1,710 वॉल्यूम
18%
16°C
$482 वॉल्यूम
69%
17°C
$311 वॉल्यूम
14%
18°C
$111 वॉल्यूम
4%
19°C
$227 वॉल्यूम
2%
20°C or higher
$222 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 15°C for Wellington on September 2 amid northwesterly winds and mostly sunny conditions, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily highs typically range 13–16°C. This positions 16°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with secondary support for 15°C or 17°C reflecting minor model spread in temperature and wind strength. No major synoptic shifts or cold-air intrusions have emerged in the latest runs to alter the narrow band of expected values, and the market-implied odds closely track the observed forecast envelope for this date. Updated model guidance closer to the event will provide the next key data point for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,603समाप्ति तिथि
2 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 15°C for Wellington on September 2 amid northwesterly winds and mostly sunny conditions, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily highs typically range 13–16°C. This positions 16°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with secondary support for 15°C or 17°C reflecting minor model spread in temperature and wind strength. No major synoptic shifts or cold-air intrusions have emerged in the latest runs to alter the narrow band of expected values, and the market-implied odds closely track the observed forecast envelope for this date. Updated model guidance closer to the event will provide the next key data point for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$4,603समाप्ति तिथि
2 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 15°C for Wellington on September 2 amid northwesterly winds and mostly sunny conditions, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily highs typically range 13–16°C. This positions 16°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with secondary support for 15°C or 17°C reflecting minor model spread in temperature and wind strength. No major synoptic shifts or cold-air intrusions have emerged in the latest runs to alter the narrow band of expected values, and the market-implied odds closely track the observed forecast envelope for this date. Updated model guidance closer to the event will provide the next key data point for any probability adjustments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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