Latest numerical weather models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature of 30–31°C for Shanghai on September 1, consistent with the market-implied probabilities peaking at 43.5% for 30°C and 28% for 31°C. Persistent subtropical warmth, with surface highs near 32–33°C through late August, is expected to ease only modestly as easterly flow maintains humidity and limits cooling. A frontal system bringing heavier rain and a sharper drop is forecast to arrive after September 1, keeping the daily maximum in the narrow 29–32°C range. Model spread and timing uncertainties around cloud cover and wind shifts explain the secondary weighting on 29°C, while extremes below 28°C or above 32°C remain low-probability outliers based on current guidance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1 सितंबर को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
1 सितंबर को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 44%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
32°C 6%
नया
नया
1 सित, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
22%
30°C
44%
31°C
27%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
32°C 6%
नया
नया
1 सित, 2026
25°C or below
$409 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$305 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$385 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$159 वॉल्यूम
3%
29°C
$648 वॉल्यूम
22%
30°C
$286 वॉल्यूम
44%
31°C
$278 वॉल्यूम
27%
32°C
$290 वॉल्यूम
6%
33°C
$55 वॉल्यूम
1%
34°C
$43 वॉल्यूम
<1%
35°C or higher
$257 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature of 30–31°C for Shanghai on September 1, consistent with the market-implied probabilities peaking at 43.5% for 30°C and 28% for 31°C. Persistent subtropical warmth, with surface highs near 32–33°C through late August, is expected to ease only modestly as easterly flow maintains humidity and limits cooling. A frontal system bringing heavier rain and a sharper drop is forecast to arrive after September 1, keeping the daily maximum in the narrow 29–32°C range. Model spread and timing uncertainties around cloud cover and wind shifts explain the secondary weighting on 29°C, while extremes below 28°C or above 32°C remain low-probability outliers based on current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,116समाप्ति तिथि
1 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature of 30–31°C for Shanghai on September 1, consistent with the market-implied probabilities peaking at 43.5% for 30°C and 28% for 31°C. Persistent subtropical warmth, with surface highs near 32–33°C through late August, is expected to ease only modestly as easterly flow maintains humidity and limits cooling. A frontal system bringing heavier rain and a sharper drop is forecast to arrive after September 1, keeping the daily maximum in the narrow 29–32°C range. Model spread and timing uncertainties around cloud cover and wind shifts explain the secondary weighting on 29°C, while extremes below 28°C or above 32°C remain low-probability outliers based on current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,116समाप्ति तिथि
1 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature of 30–31°C for Shanghai on September 1, consistent with the market-implied probabilities peaking at 43.5% for 30°C and 28% for 31°C. Persistent subtropical warmth, with surface highs near 32–33°C through late August, is expected to ease only modestly as easterly flow maintains humidity and limits cooling. A frontal system bringing heavier rain and a sharper drop is forecast to arrive after September 1, keeping the daily maximum in the narrow 29–32°C range. Model spread and timing uncertainties around cloud cover and wind shifts explain the secondary weighting on 29°C, while extremes below 28°C or above 32°C remain low-probability outliers based on current guidance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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