Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a warm air mass over central Poland on August 31, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 25–27°C in Warsaw, though increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms could cap peaks and introduce timing uncertainty. Official guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology aligns with these outputs, showing modest instability that favors highs clustering around 26°C rather than sustained extreme warmth. Trader consensus reflected in the 55% implied probability for 27°C or higher and 33.5% for exactly 26°C captures this narrow range, with lower outcomes priced in due to potential convective cooling. Updated model runs expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine precipitation timing and refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C or higher 60%
26°C 32%
25°C 7%
24°C 4%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
32%
27°C or higher
60%
27°C or higher 60%
26°C 32%
25°C 7%
24°C 4%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
17°C or below
$251 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$254 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$351 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$351 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$215 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$486 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$241 वॉल्यूम
1%
24°C
$302 वॉल्यूम
4%
25°C
$1,448 वॉल्यूम
7%
26°C
$505 वॉल्यूम
32%
27°C or higher
$2,875 वॉल्यूम
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a warm air mass over central Poland on August 31, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 25–27°C in Warsaw, though increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms could cap peaks and introduce timing uncertainty. Official guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology aligns with these outputs, showing modest instability that favors highs clustering around 26°C rather than sustained extreme warmth. Trader consensus reflected in the 55% implied probability for 27°C or higher and 33.5% for exactly 26°C captures this narrow range, with lower outcomes priced in due to potential convective cooling. Updated model runs expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine precipitation timing and refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,279समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a warm air mass over central Poland on August 31, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 25–27°C in Warsaw, though increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms could cap peaks and introduce timing uncertainty. Official guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology aligns with these outputs, showing modest instability that favors highs clustering around 26°C rather than sustained extreme warmth. Trader consensus reflected in the 55% implied probability for 27°C or higher and 33.5% for exactly 26°C captures this narrow range, with lower outcomes priced in due to potential convective cooling. Updated model runs expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine precipitation timing and refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$7,279समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a warm air mass over central Poland on August 31, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 25–27°C in Warsaw, though increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms could cap peaks and introduce timing uncertainty. Official guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology aligns with these outputs, showing modest instability that favors highs clustering around 26°C rather than sustained extreme warmth. Trader consensus reflected in the 55% implied probability for 27°C or higher and 33.5% for exactly 26°C captures this narrow range, with lower outcomes priced in due to potential convective cooling. Updated model runs expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine precipitation timing and refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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