Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, reinforced by a distant tropical depression east of Luzon, is forecast to deliver occasional rains and persistent cloud cover over Manila on September 1, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical models indicate highs near 29–31 °C under these conditions, close to early-September climatology, with only modest model spread around the precise peak. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 31 °C and 32 °C, reflecting uncertainty in exactly how much afternoon clearing or convective timing might allow a brief push toward 33 °C versus sustained suppression below 31 °C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key inputs for any further adjustment in market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1 सितंबर को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
1 सितंबर को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 36%
31°C 27%
34°C 19%
33°C 19%
नया
नया
1 सित, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
12%
31°C
27%
32°C
36%
33°C
19%
34°C
19%
35°C
<1%
36°C या अधिक
<1%
32°C 36%
31°C 27%
34°C 19%
33°C 19%
नया
नया
1 सित, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
$223 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
29°C
$31 वॉल्यूम
4%
30°C
$33 वॉल्यूम
12%
31°C
$57 वॉल्यूम
27%
32°C
$99 वॉल्यूम
36%
33°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
19%
34°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
19%
35°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
36°C या अधिक
$121 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, reinforced by a distant tropical depression east of Luzon, is forecast to deliver occasional rains and persistent cloud cover over Manila on September 1, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical models indicate highs near 29–31 °C under these conditions, close to early-September climatology, with only modest model spread around the precise peak. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 31 °C and 32 °C, reflecting uncertainty in exactly how much afternoon clearing or convective timing might allow a brief push toward 33 °C versus sustained suppression below 31 °C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key inputs for any further adjustment in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$564समाप्ति तिथि
1 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, reinforced by a distant tropical depression east of Luzon, is forecast to deliver occasional rains and persistent cloud cover over Manila on September 1, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical models indicate highs near 29–31 °C under these conditions, close to early-September climatology, with only modest model spread around the precise peak. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 31 °C and 32 °C, reflecting uncertainty in exactly how much afternoon clearing or convective timing might allow a brief push toward 33 °C versus sustained suppression below 31 °C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key inputs for any further adjustment in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$564समाप्ति तिथि
1 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, reinforced by a distant tropical depression east of Luzon, is forecast to deliver occasional rains and persistent cloud cover over Manila on September 1, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical models indicate highs near 29–31 °C under these conditions, close to early-September climatology, with only modest model spread around the precise peak. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 31 °C and 32 °C, reflecting uncertainty in exactly how much afternoon clearing or convective timing might allow a brief push toward 33 °C versus sustained suppression below 31 °C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key inputs for any further adjustment in market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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