Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and regional models point to Shanghai daytime highs of 28–29°C on September 21, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Seasonal cooling from declining solar insolation and northeasterly winds limit peak heating, while scattered cloud cover introduces minor variability in surface energy balance. Historical September averages near 27–28°C provide a climatological anchor, with low precipitation risk reducing chances of cooler or warmer outliers. Model consensus keeps probabilities concentrated in this narrow band, though small shifts in cloud timing or wind could nudge the daily maximum across the 28–30°C thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 सितंबर को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 33%
28°C 30%
29°C 30%
27°C 25%
26°C या उससे कम
23%
27°C
25%
28°C
30%
29°C
30%
30°C
19%
31°C
33%
32°C
25%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C
4%
36°C या उससे अधिक
4%
31°C 33%
28°C 30%
29°C 30%
27°C 25%
26°C या उससे कम
23%
27°C
25%
28°C
30%
29°C
30%
30°C
19%
31°C
33%
32°C
25%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C
4%
36°C या उससे अधिक
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and regional models point to Shanghai daytime highs of 28–29°C on September 21, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Seasonal cooling from declining solar insolation and northeasterly winds limit peak heating, while scattered cloud cover introduces minor variability in surface energy balance. Historical September averages near 27–28°C provide a climatological anchor, with low precipitation risk reducing chances of cooler or warmer outliers. Model consensus keeps probabilities concentrated in this narrow band, though small shifts in cloud timing or wind could nudge the daily maximum across the 28–30°C thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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