Trader sentiment reflects substantial forecast uncertainty for Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 21, with probabilities spread across 17–27°C outcomes. Short-range ensemble models show notable spread in low-level temperatures driven by variable steering flows from the subtropical ridge, potential weak frontal passages, and diurnal cooling modulated by urban heat retention and East China Sea moisture. Historical September minima in the city average near 20–22°C, but model consensus remains sensitive to small shifts in wind direction and boundary-layer stability. Updated runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria around observed overnight lows.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 सितंबर को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
27°C या उससे अधिक 39%
17°C या उससे नीचे 37%
21°C 34%
25°C 33%
17°C या उससे नीचे
37%
18°C
25%
19°C
25%
20°C
27%
21°C
34%
22°C
31%
23°C
23%
24°C
14%
25°C
33%
26°C
33%
27°C या उससे अधिक
39%
27°C या उससे अधिक 39%
17°C या उससे नीचे 37%
21°C 34%
25°C 33%
17°C या उससे नीचे
37%
18°C
25%
19°C
25%
20°C
27%
21°C
34%
22°C
31%
23°C
23%
24°C
14%
25°C
33%
26°C
33%
27°C या उससे अधिक
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment reflects substantial forecast uncertainty for Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 21, with probabilities spread across 17–27°C outcomes. Short-range ensemble models show notable spread in low-level temperatures driven by variable steering flows from the subtropical ridge, potential weak frontal passages, and diurnal cooling modulated by urban heat retention and East China Sea moisture. Historical September minima in the city average near 20–22°C, but model consensus remains sensitive to small shifts in wind direction and boundary-layer stability. Updated runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria around observed overnight lows.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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