Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 32°C for Madrid on September 21 under clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting the market's strong 53.5% implied probability on that outcome and 25% on 33°C. Stable high pressure and dry continental air masses have kept conditions settled, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day shifts and consensus on afternoon maxima in the low 30s Celsius. Historical September averages near 26°C and the absence of incoming fronts reinforce expectations for above-normal warmth without reaching 34°C or higher. Updated guidance from agencies like AEMET in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak if any subtle moisture or wind changes emerge.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 56%
33°C 27%
31°C 12%
34°C 12%
26°C या उससे कम
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
12%
32°C
56%
33°C
27%
34°C
12%
35°C
5%
36°C या उससे अधिक
4%
32°C 56%
33°C 27%
31°C 12%
34°C 12%
26°C या उससे कम
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
12%
32°C
56%
33°C
27%
34°C
12%
35°C
5%
36°C या उससे अधिक
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 32°C for Madrid on September 21 under clear skies and light southerly winds, supporting the market's strong 53.5% implied probability on that outcome and 25% on 33°C. Stable high pressure and dry continental air masses have kept conditions settled, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day shifts and consensus on afternoon maxima in the low 30s Celsius. Historical September averages near 26°C and the absence of incoming fronts reinforce expectations for above-normal warmth without reaching 34°C or higher. Updated guidance from agencies like AEMET in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak if any subtle moisture or wind changes emerge.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न