Recent forecasts from sources including weather25, easeweather, and Met Office consensus place Munich's August 5 maximum near 33–34 °C under continued high pressure, clear skies, and subsiding warm air from continental sources—conditions that have sustained mid-30s readings through early August. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest thunderstorm risk potentially trimming the peak by 1 °C. Historical August climatology for Munich peaks near 23–25 °C, so the current warm anomaly elevates the chance of 33–34 °C outcomes that together command over 85 % of market-implied probability. Traders are weighting the latest short-range runs and DWD station criteria for the daily maximum, with any model shift or unexpected cloud cover the main variables that could tilt the narrow 34 °C versus 33 °C edge before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को म्यूनिख में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
34°C 51%
33°C 37%
35°C 9%
32°C 4%
$10,766 वॉल्यूम
$10,766 वॉल्यूम
30°C or below
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C
37%
34°C
51%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 51%
33°C 37%
35°C 9%
32°C 4%
$10,766 वॉल्यूम
$10,766 वॉल्यूम
30°C or below
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C
37%
34°C
51%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including weather25, easeweather, and Met Office consensus place Munich's August 5 maximum near 33–34 °C under continued high pressure, clear skies, and subsiding warm air from continental sources—conditions that have sustained mid-30s readings through early August. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest thunderstorm risk potentially trimming the peak by 1 °C. Historical August climatology for Munich peaks near 23–25 °C, so the current warm anomaly elevates the chance of 33–34 °C outcomes that together command over 85 % of market-implied probability. Traders are weighting the latest short-range runs and DWD station criteria for the daily maximum, with any model shift or unexpected cloud cover the main variables that could tilt the narrow 34 °C versus 33 °C edge before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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