Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and models such as those aggregated by AccuWeather indicate Beijing highs around 32–34°C on August 5, 2026, amid typical late-summer humidity and monsoon influences, yet trader consensus favors 36°C as the mode (35.5% implied probability) due to an active East Asian heat pattern, including recent record highs exceeding 41°C in Japan. Regional steering flows and limited cloud cover could allow brief spikes above climatological averages of 30–32°C, though afternoon thunderstorms may cap extremes. Model updates over the next 48 hours from NOAA and CMA will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
36°C 37%
35°C 25%
37°C 22%
34°C 10%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
10%
35°C
25%
36°C
37%
37°C
22%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 37%
35°C 25%
37°C 22%
34°C 10%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
10%
35°C
25%
36°C
37%
37°C
22%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and models such as those aggregated by AccuWeather indicate Beijing highs around 32–34°C on August 5, 2026, amid typical late-summer humidity and monsoon influences, yet trader consensus favors 36°C as the mode (35.5% implied probability) due to an active East Asian heat pattern, including recent record highs exceeding 41°C in Japan. Regional steering flows and limited cloud cover could allow brief spikes above climatological averages of 30–32°C, though afternoon thunderstorms may cap extremes. Model updates over the next 48 hours from NOAA and CMA will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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