**Brazil’s Q3 2026 quarter-on-quarter GDP growth market reflects closely matched probabilities around flat-to-mildly negative outcomes, driven by the sharp slowdown already evident in Q2.** Official data released September 1 showed 0.5% QoQ expansion (following 1.1% in Q1), with household consumption contracting 0.4% and the external sector subtracting from growth amid rising imports. Persistent high real interest rates near 10%—with the Selic at 14% after recent cuts—continue to weigh on domestic demand, while early Q3 indicators point to near-zero or negative sequential growth. Cooling August inflation to 4.22% YoY may support further monetary easing, yet lagged policy effects and subdued business sentiment keep near-term momentum fragile. Traders price in this uncertainty, with the top two bins (0.0–0.2% and -0.3 to -0.1%) capturing over half the probability amid limited visibility into September activity before the next Focus survey and central bank decision.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाQ3 2026 (QoQ) में ब्राजील की जीडीपी वृद्धि?
Q3 2026 (QoQ) में ब्राजील की जीडीपी वृद्धि?
0.0% से 0.2% 30%
-0.3% से -0.1% 26%
0.6% से 0.8% 22%
<-0.3% 8.0%
नया
नया
1 दिस, 2026
<-0.3%
19%
-0.3% से -0.1%
26%
0.0% से 0.2%
30%
0.3% से 0.5%
9%
0.6% से 0.8%
22%
0.9% से 1.1%
15%
≥1.2%
1%
0.0% से 0.2% 30%
-0.3% से -0.1% 26%
0.6% से 0.8% 22%
<-0.3% 8.0%
नया
नया
1 दिस, 2026
<-0.3%
$144 वॉल्यूम
19%
-0.3% से -0.1%
$2,056 वॉल्यूम
26%
0.0% से 0.2%
$6,216 वॉल्यूम
30%
0.3% से 0.5%
$189 वॉल्यूम
9%
0.6% से 0.8%
$133 वॉल्यूम
22%
0.9% से 1.1%
$134 वॉल्यूम
15%
≥1.2%
$121 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html**Brazil’s Q3 2026 quarter-on-quarter GDP growth market reflects closely matched probabilities around flat-to-mildly negative outcomes, driven by the sharp slowdown already evident in Q2.** Official data released September 1 showed 0.5% QoQ expansion (following 1.1% in Q1), with household consumption contracting 0.4% and the external sector subtracting from growth amid rising imports. Persistent high real interest rates near 10%—with the Selic at 14% after recent cuts—continue to weigh on domestic demand, while early Q3 indicators point to near-zero or negative sequential growth. Cooling August inflation to 4.22% YoY may support further monetary easing, yet lagged policy effects and subdued business sentiment keep near-term momentum fragile. Traders price in this uncertainty, with the top two bins (0.0–0.2% and -0.3 to -0.1%) capturing over half the probability amid limited visibility into September activity before the next Focus survey and central bank decision.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 8, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,992समाप्ति तिथि
2 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 7:35 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html**Brazil’s Q3 2026 quarter-on-quarter GDP growth market reflects closely matched probabilities around flat-to-mildly negative outcomes, driven by the sharp slowdown already evident in Q2.** Official data released September 1 showed 0.5% QoQ expansion (following 1.1% in Q1), with household consumption contracting 0.4% and the external sector subtracting from growth amid rising imports. Persistent high real interest rates near 10%—with the Selic at 14% after recent cuts—continue to weigh on domestic demand, while early Q3 indicators point to near-zero or negative sequential growth. Cooling August inflation to 4.22% YoY may support further monetary easing, yet lagged policy effects and subdued business sentiment keep near-term momentum fragile. Traders price in this uncertainty, with the top two bins (0.0–0.2% and -0.3 to -0.1%) capturing over half the probability amid limited visibility into September activity before the next Focus survey and central bank decision.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
वॉल्यूम
$8,992समाप्ति तिथि
2 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 7:35 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Brazil’s Q3 2026 quarter-on-quarter GDP growth market reflects closely matched probabilities around flat-to-mildly negative outcomes, driven by the sharp slowdown already evident in Q2.** Official data released September 1 showed 0.5% QoQ expansion (following 1.1% in Q1), with household consumption contracting 0.4% and the external sector subtracting from growth amid rising imports. Persistent high real interest rates near 10%—with the Selic at 14% after recent cuts—continue to weigh on domestic demand, while early Q3 indicators point to near-zero or negative sequential growth. Cooling August inflation to 4.22% YoY may support further monetary easing, yet lagged policy effects and subdued business sentiment keep near-term momentum fragile. Traders price in this uncertainty, with the top two bins (0.0–0.2% and -0.3 to -0.1%) capturing over half the probability amid limited visibility into September activity before the next Focus survey and central bank decision.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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