Japan’s Q3 2026 GDP growth faces elevated uncertainty amid moderating domestic demand and external headwinds. Recent data show Q1 expanding at a solid +2.1% annualized pace before forecasts for Q2 turned negative around –0.3%, reflecting higher energy import costs from yen weakness near 159/USD, BoJ policy tightening to 1%, and softening export momentum tied to global trade frictions. Inflation eased to 1.7% year-over-year by June while unemployment held at 2.5%, supporting real wages but limiting consumption upside. Consensus annual growth projections cluster near 0.5–0.8% for 2026, with Q3 expected near potential (0.1–0.2% q/q) barring sharp revisions in trade or price data. These dynamics underpin the tightly clustered market-implied odds across contraction and modest-expansion buckets.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाJapan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
-2.4%– -1.6% 27%
0.0%–0.8% 25%
-0.8%–0.0% 25%
<-2.4% 24%
नया
नया
16 नव, 2026
<-2.4%
24%
-2.4%– -1.6%
27%
-1.6%– -0.8%
22%
-0.8%–0.0%
25%
0.0%–0.8%
25%
0.8%–1.6%
23%
1.6%–2.4%
22%
2.4%–3.2%
11%
3.2%–4.0%
8%
4.0%+
9%
-2.4%– -1.6% 27%
0.0%–0.8% 25%
-0.8%–0.0% 25%
<-2.4% 24%
नया
नया
16 नव, 2026
<-2.4%
$0 वॉल्यूम
24%
-2.4%– -1.6%
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
-1.6%– -0.8%
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
-0.8%–0.0%
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
0.0%–0.8%
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
0.8%–1.6%
$0 वॉल्यूम
23%
1.6%–2.4%
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
2.4%–3.2%
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
3.2%–4.0%
$0 वॉल्यूम
8%
4.0%+
$0 वॉल्यूम
9%
This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026.
The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent. Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.1%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/kouhyou/kouhyou_top.htmlJapan’s Q3 2026 GDP growth faces elevated uncertainty amid moderating domestic demand and external headwinds. Recent data show Q1 expanding at a solid +2.1% annualized pace before forecasts for Q2 turned negative around –0.3%, reflecting higher energy import costs from yen weakness near 159/USD, BoJ policy tightening to 1%, and softening export momentum tied to global trade frictions. Inflation eased to 1.7% year-over-year by June while unemployment held at 2.5%, supporting real wages but limiting consumption upside. Consensus annual growth projections cluster near 0.5–0.8% for 2026, with Q3 expected near potential (0.1–0.2% q/q) barring sharp revisions in trade or price data. These dynamics underpin the tightly clustered market-implied odds across contraction and modest-expansion buckets.
This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026.
The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent. Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.1%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/kouhyou/kouhyou_top.html
The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent. Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.1%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/kouhyou/kouhyou_top.html
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
16 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026.
The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent. Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.1%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/kouhyou/kouhyou_top.htmlJapan’s Q3 2026 GDP growth faces elevated uncertainty amid moderating domestic demand and external headwinds. Recent data show Q1 expanding at a solid +2.1% annualized pace before forecasts for Q2 turned negative around –0.3%, reflecting higher energy import costs from yen weakness near 159/USD, BoJ policy tightening to 1%, and softening export momentum tied to global trade frictions. Inflation eased to 1.7% year-over-year by June while unemployment held at 2.5%, supporting real wages but limiting consumption upside. Consensus annual growth projections cluster near 0.5–0.8% for 2026, with Q3 expected near potential (0.1–0.2% q/q) barring sharp revisions in trade or price data. These dynamics underpin the tightly clustered market-implied odds across contraction and modest-expansion buckets.
This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026.
The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent. Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.1%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/kouhyou/kouhyou_top.html
The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent. Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.1%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/kouhyou/kouhyou_top.html
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
16 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan’s Q3 2026 GDP growth faces elevated uncertainty amid moderating domestic demand and external headwinds. Recent data show Q1 expanding at a solid +2.1% annualized pace before forecasts for Q2 turned negative around –0.3%, reflecting higher energy import costs from yen weakness near 159/USD, BoJ policy tightening to 1%, and softening export momentum tied to global trade frictions. Inflation eased to 1.7% year-over-year by June while unemployment held at 2.5%, supporting real wages but limiting consumption upside. Consensus annual growth projections cluster near 0.5–0.8% for 2026, with Q3 expected near potential (0.1–0.2% q/q) barring sharp revisions in trade or price data. These dynamics underpin the tightly clustered market-implied odds across contraction and modest-expansion buckets.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न