Skip to main content

Pour trader aux États-Unis, va sur polymarket.us

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin
Élections·Élection Américaine

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin
Élections·Élection Américaine

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin

Polymarket

$570,435 Vol.

Polymarket

$570,435 Vol.

icon for David Crowley (D)

David Crowley (D)

$305,654 Vol.

83%

icon for Tom Tiffany (R)

Tom Tiffany (R)

$264,782 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley holds an 83% implied probability in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race after securing the Democratic nomination in a narrow August 11 primary upset over state Rep. Francesca Hong. Recent Marquette Law School and other surveys from mid-to-late August show Crowley ahead of Republican nominee Tom Tiffany by roughly five points among likely voters, reflecting his stronger positioning to consolidate Democratic support in Milwaukee and suburban areas. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination with strong backing from former President Trump but trails in head-to-head polling. Traders appear to weigh the open-seat dynamics, Crowley's county executive record, and Wisconsin's recent Democratic gubernatorial performance more heavily than Tiffany's congressional profile and base turnout potential. The November 3 contest remains subject to shifts from turnout and late developments.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$570,435
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley holds an 83% implied probability in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race after securing the Democratic nomination in a narrow August 11 primary upset over state Rep. Francesca Hong. Recent Marquette Law School and other surveys from mid-to-late August show Crowley ahead of Republican nominee Tom Tiffany by roughly five points among likely voters, reflecting his stronger positioning to consolidate Democratic support in Milwaukee and suburban areas. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination with strong backing from former President Trump but trails in head-to-head polling. Traders appear to weigh the open-seat dynamics, Crowley's county executive record, and Wisconsin's recent Democratic gubernatorial performance more heavily than Tiffany's congressional profile and base turnout potential. The November 3 contest remains subject to shifts from turnout and late developments.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$570,435
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Connexes

icon for Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors des élections de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le sénateur du Montana sera-t-il compris entre 350 000 et 400 000 ?

Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors des élections de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le sénateur du Montana sera-t-il compris entre 350 000 et 400 000 ?

46%
Oui
icon for N'y aura-t-il pas de prochain Haut Représentant pour la Bosnie-Herzégovine en 2026 ?

N'y aura-t-il pas de prochain Haut Représentant pour la Bosnie-Herzégovine en 2026 ?

76%
Oui
icon for Will Israel make Eric Adams a citizen?

Will Israel make Eric Adams a citizen?

14%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « David Crowley (D) » à 83%, suivi de « Tom Tiffany (R) » à 18%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 83¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin » a généré $570.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 13, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin » est « David Crowley (D) » à 83%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Tom Tiffany (R) » à 18%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.