**President Masoud Pezeshkian, elected in the 2024 snap vote, is serving a standard four-year term scheduled to conclude in 2028, with no active constitutional triggers—such as death, resignation, or incapacity under Article 131—currently in place to force an earlier presidential election.** Following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s assassination in February 2026 and the subsequent Assembly of Experts selection of Mojtaba Khamenei, Iranian authorities have focused on leadership consolidation rather than scheduling a new presidential contest. Pezeshkian has publicly reaffirmed his intent to remain in office, rejecting resignation reports, while potential candidates for 2028 have begun positioning. Trader consensus reflected in low market probabilities for a vote by late 2026 or early 2027 aligns with the lack of recent developments that would compel an unscheduled election before the regular cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourL'Iran organisera-t-il une élection présidentielle d'ici le… ?
$767,372 Vol.
31 décembre
45%
$767,372 Vol.
31 décembre
45%
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**President Masoud Pezeshkian, elected in the 2024 snap vote, is serving a standard four-year term scheduled to conclude in 2028, with no active constitutional triggers—such as death, resignation, or incapacity under Article 131—currently in place to force an earlier presidential election.** Following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s assassination in February 2026 and the subsequent Assembly of Experts selection of Mojtaba Khamenei, Iranian authorities have focused on leadership consolidation rather than scheduling a new presidential contest. Pezeshkian has publicly reaffirmed his intent to remain in office, rejecting resignation reports, while potential candidates for 2028 have begun positioning. Trader consensus reflected in low market probabilities for a vote by late 2026 or early 2027 aligns with the lack of recent developments that would compel an unscheduled election before the regular cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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