The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed on August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes mutual defense obligations and explicitly invites additional members to strengthen collective deterrence amid ongoing regional instability. Trader sentiment centers on diplomatic signals from Turkish officials highlighting Egypt as a near-term candidate due to existing security consultations and shared interests, while other Gulf states such as Qatar and Kuwait, along with Jordan, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, and Syria, have received mentions or shown preliminary openness. Recent unconfirmed reports of an Iranian invitation add uncertainty, though signatories stress the pact's defensive, non-sectarian character and compatibility with existing alliances. With resolution set for December 31, 2026, key variables include upcoming bilateral visits, technical accession talks, and any escalation or de-escalation in broader Middle East security dynamics that could accelerate or stall formal joinings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuels pays adhéreront à l'Accord de La Mecque d'ici le 31 décembre ?

Soudan
68%

Irak
53%

Égypte
35%

Syrie
29%

Bahreïn
21%

Somalie
18%

Qatar
16%

Maroc
16%

Jordanie
16%

Iran
11%

Koweït
11%

Yémen
9%

Émirats arabes unis
9%

Oman
8%

Algérie
7%

Liban
7%
$8,080 Vol.

Soudan
68%

Irak
53%

Égypte
35%

Syrie
29%

Bahreïn
21%

Somalie
18%

Qatar
16%

Maroc
16%

Jordanie
16%

Iran
11%

Koweït
11%

Yémen
9%

Émirats arabes unis
9%

Oman
8%

Algérie
7%

Liban
7%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed on August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes mutual defense obligations and explicitly invites additional members to strengthen collective deterrence amid ongoing regional instability. Trader sentiment centers on diplomatic signals from Turkish officials highlighting Egypt as a near-term candidate due to existing security consultations and shared interests, while other Gulf states such as Qatar and Kuwait, along with Jordan, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, and Syria, have received mentions or shown preliminary openness. Recent unconfirmed reports of an Iranian invitation add uncertainty, though signatories stress the pact's defensive, non-sectarian character and compatibility with existing alliances. With resolution set for December 31, 2026, key variables include upcoming bilateral visits, technical accession talks, and any escalation or de-escalation in broader Middle East security dynamics that could accelerate or stall formal joinings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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