Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed following National Electoral Commission recommendations and subsequent approvals by the House of Elders for term extensions of up to 27 months, citing security concerns, technical preparations, and drought conditions. These steps shifted the timeline to March 2027, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% probability assigned to no vote occurring before 2027. Historical patterns of repeated delays in Somaliland's electoral process, driven by similar logistical and stability factors, further reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include rapid resolution of security and technical barriers enabling an accelerated schedule, or new legislative action overriding the current extension, though such developments remain constrained by the approved framework and ongoing regional challenges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection parlementaire au Somaliland
Vainqueur de l'élection parlementaire au Somaliland
Aucune élection avant 2027 95%
Justice et Bien-être (UCID) 3.0%
Waddani 2.8%
Kulmiye 2.8%
$94,834 Vol.
$94,834 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
Aucune élection avant 2027
95%
Justice et Bien-être (UCID)
3%
Waddani
3%
Kulmiye
3%
Aucune élection avant 2027 95%
Justice et Bien-être (UCID) 3.0%
Waddani 2.8%
Kulmiye 2.8%
$94,834 Vol.
$94,834 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
Aucune élection avant 2027
$84,975 Vol.
95%
Justice et Bien-être (UCID)
$4,279 Vol.
3%
Waddani
$2,522 Vol.
3%
Kulmiye
$3,058 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed following National Electoral Commission recommendations and subsequent approvals by the House of Elders for term extensions of up to 27 months, citing security concerns, technical preparations, and drought conditions. These steps shifted the timeline to March 2027, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% probability assigned to no vote occurring before 2027. Historical patterns of repeated delays in Somaliland's electoral process, driven by similar logistical and stability factors, further reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include rapid resolution of security and technical barriers enabling an accelerated schedule, or new legislative action overriding the current extension, though such developments remain constrained by the approved framework and ongoing regional challenges.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Volume
$94,834Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed following National Electoral Commission recommendations and subsequent approvals by the House of Elders for term extensions of up to 27 months, citing security concerns, technical preparations, and drought conditions. These steps shifted the timeline to March 2027, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% probability assigned to no vote occurring before 2027. Historical patterns of repeated delays in Somaliland's electoral process, driven by similar logistical and stability factors, further reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include rapid resolution of security and technical barriers enabling an accelerated schedule, or new legislative action overriding the current extension, though such developments remain constrained by the approved framework and ongoing regional challenges.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Volume
$94,834Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed following National Electoral Commission recommendations and subsequent approvals by the House of Elders for term extensions of up to 27 months, citing security concerns, technical preparations, and drought conditions. These steps shifted the timeline to March 2027, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% probability assigned to no vote occurring before 2027. Historical patterns of repeated delays in Somaliland's electoral process, driven by similar logistical and stability factors, further reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include rapid resolution of security and technical barriers enabling an accelerated schedule, or new legislative action overriding the current extension, though such developments remain constrained by the approved framework and ongoing regional challenges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
AS remportera-t-il le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires lettonnes de 2026 ?
52%
Oui
Est-ce que Russie unie (ER) remportera le plus de sièges lors des prochaines élections parlementaires russes ?
98%
Oui
Le Mouvement Amal remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections législatives libanaises de 2026 ?
1%
Oui
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