United Russia maintains its commanding lead in trader pricing for the September 18-20 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party, extensive regional networks, and dominance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system. Kremlin-aligned institutions, state media coverage, and candidate vetting processes have narrowed viable competition to systemic parties, while opposition groups face registration barriers and legal restrictions. Polling aggregates and historical results reinforce expectations of another large majority. Potential shifts remain limited to unforeseen events such as sudden leadership changes, major military setbacks, or widespread administrative disruptions that could alter turnout or invalidate results before certification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections parlementaires en Russie
Vainqueur des élections parlementaires en Russie
Russie unie (ER) 99.2%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF) <1%
Nouvelles Personnes (NL) <1%
Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP) <1%
$3,763,422 Vol.
$3,763,422 Vol.
29 sept. 2026
Russie unie (ER)
99%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF)
1%
Nouvelles Personnes (NL)
<1%
Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP)
<1%
Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Plateforme Civique (GP)
<1%
Iabloko
<1%
Russie unie (ER) 99.2%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF) <1%
Nouvelles Personnes (NL) <1%
Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP) <1%
$3,763,422 Vol.
$3,763,422 Vol.
29 sept. 2026
Russie unie (ER)
$1,202,332 Vol.
99%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF)
$213,155 Vol.
1%
Nouvelles Personnes (NL)
$166,912 Vol.
<1%
Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP)
$742,262 Vol.
<1%
Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR)
$258,215 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$505,710 Vol.
<1%
Plateforme Civique (GP)
$604,433 Vol.
<1%
Iabloko
$70,405 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding lead in trader pricing for the September 18-20 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party, extensive regional networks, and dominance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system. Kremlin-aligned institutions, state media coverage, and candidate vetting processes have narrowed viable competition to systemic parties, while opposition groups face registration barriers and legal restrictions. Polling aggregates and historical results reinforce expectations of another large majority. Potential shifts remain limited to unforeseen events such as sudden leadership changes, major military setbacks, or widespread administrative disruptions that could alter turnout or invalidate results before certification.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Marché ouvert : Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$3,763,422Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding lead in trader pricing for the September 18-20 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party, extensive regional networks, and dominance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system. Kremlin-aligned institutions, state media coverage, and candidate vetting processes have narrowed viable competition to systemic parties, while opposition groups face registration barriers and legal restrictions. Polling aggregates and historical results reinforce expectations of another large majority. Potential shifts remain limited to unforeseen events such as sudden leadership changes, major military setbacks, or widespread administrative disruptions that could alter turnout or invalidate results before certification.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$3,763,422Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding lead in trader pricing for the September 18-20 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party, extensive regional networks, and dominance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system. Kremlin-aligned institutions, state media coverage, and candidate vetting processes have narrowed viable competition to systemic parties, while opposition groups face registration barriers and legal restrictions. Polling aggregates and historical results reinforce expectations of another large majority. Potential shifts remain limited to unforeseen events such as sudden leadership changes, major military setbacks, or widespread administrative disruptions that could alter turnout or invalidate results before certification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le parti Nouvelle Personnes (NL) remportera-t-il le quatrième plus grand nombre de sièges lors des prochaines élections parlementaires russes ?
46%
Oui
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
56%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
92%
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