Russia's tightly controlled electoral system, including candidate vetting, restrictions on independent media, multi-day and electronic voting procedures, and the barring of genuine opposition parties like Yabloko from national lists, underpins trader consensus that United Russia will secure the most seats in the September 18-20 State Duma vote. The party benefits from Kremlin backing, alignment with President Putin, and a field of systemic rivals that generally support government policies on the Ukraine conflict. Recent polls from state-linked firms show United Russia well ahead, though with support in the 30-50% range amid war fatigue and economic pressures. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to late-breaking events such as major military reversals or abrupt policy shifts, given the structural advantages and short timeline to voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections parlementaires en Russie
Vainqueur des élections parlementaires en Russie
Russie unie (ER) 99.0%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF) <1%
Nouvelles Personnes (NL) <1%
Iabloko <1%
$3,731,432 Vol.
$3,731,432 Vol.
29 sept. 2026
Russie unie (ER)
99%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF)
1%
Nouvelles Personnes (NL)
<1%
Iabloko
<1%
Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP)
<1%
Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Plateforme Civique (GP)
<1%
Russie unie (ER) 99.0%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF) <1%
Nouvelles Personnes (NL) <1%
Iabloko <1%
$3,731,432 Vol.
$3,731,432 Vol.
29 sept. 2026
Russie unie (ER)
$1,171,082 Vol.
99%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF)
$212,472 Vol.
1%
Nouvelles Personnes (NL)
$166,881 Vol.
<1%
Iabloko
$70,388 Vol.
<1%
Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP)
$742,252 Vol.
<1%
Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR)
$258,215 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$505,710 Vol.
<1%
Plateforme Civique (GP)
$604,433 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Russia's tightly controlled electoral system, including candidate vetting, restrictions on independent media, multi-day and electronic voting procedures, and the barring of genuine opposition parties like Yabloko from national lists, underpins trader consensus that United Russia will secure the most seats in the September 18-20 State Duma vote. The party benefits from Kremlin backing, alignment with President Putin, and a field of systemic rivals that generally support government policies on the Ukraine conflict. Recent polls from state-linked firms show United Russia well ahead, though with support in the 30-50% range amid war fatigue and economic pressures. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to late-breaking events such as major military reversals or abrupt policy shifts, given the structural advantages and short timeline to voting.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Marché ouvert : Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$3,731,432Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Russia's tightly controlled electoral system, including candidate vetting, restrictions on independent media, multi-day and electronic voting procedures, and the barring of genuine opposition parties like Yabloko from national lists, underpins trader consensus that United Russia will secure the most seats in the September 18-20 State Duma vote. The party benefits from Kremlin backing, alignment with President Putin, and a field of systemic rivals that generally support government policies on the Ukraine conflict. Recent polls from state-linked firms show United Russia well ahead, though with support in the 30-50% range amid war fatigue and economic pressures. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to late-breaking events such as major military reversals or abrupt policy shifts, given the structural advantages and short timeline to voting.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$3,731,432Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Russia's tightly controlled electoral system, including candidate vetting, restrictions on independent media, multi-day and electronic voting procedures, and the barring of genuine opposition parties like Yabloko from national lists, underpins trader consensus that United Russia will secure the most seats in the September 18-20 State Duma vote. The party benefits from Kremlin backing, alignment with President Putin, and a field of systemic rivals that generally support government policies on the Ukraine conflict. Recent polls from state-linked firms show United Russia well ahead, though with support in the 30-50% range amid war fatigue and economic pressures. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to late-breaking events such as major military reversals or abrupt policy shifts, given the structural advantages and short timeline to voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le parti Nouvelle Personnes (NL) remportera-t-il le quatrième plus grand nombre de sièges lors des prochaines élections parlementaires russes ?
47%
Oui
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
55%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
92%
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