Recent polling from state-affiliated firms such as FOM and WCIOM shows United Russia maintaining a wide lead in party-list support ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote, while New People, LDPR, KPRF, and SRZP cluster in the middle ranks amid modest shifts in voter intention. Yabloko’s exclusion from the ballot has narrowed the field of registered opposition options, allowing New People to register gains in some surveys as protest or alternative votes consolidate. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with multiple parties clustered near even odds for fourth place and limited differentiation in recent campaign data. Factors that could alter the ordering include final turnout patterns, single-mandate district results that indirectly influence list perceptions, and any late adjustments in regional mobilization by the larger systemic parties. The short interval before voting leaves little room for additional polling signals to resolve the narrow margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNouvelle Personnes (NL) 45%
Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR) 36%
A Just Russia – Pour la vérité (SRZP) 10%
Rodina 2.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
Nouvelle Personnes (NL)
45%
Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR)
36%
A Just Russia – Pour la vérité (SRZP)
9%
Rodina
3%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF)
2%
Russie unie (ER)
1%
Plateforme civique (GP)
<1%
Nouvelle Personnes (NL) 45%
Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR) 36%
A Just Russia – Pour la vérité (SRZP) 10%
Rodina 2.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
Nouvelle Personnes (NL)
$1,624 Vol.
45%
Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR)
$352 Vol.
36%
A Just Russia – Pour la vérité (SRZP)
$475 Vol.
9%
Rodina
$83 Vol.
3%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF)
$217 Vol.
2%
Russie unie (ER)
$187 Vol.
1%
Plateforme civique (GP)
$590 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated firms such as FOM and WCIOM shows United Russia maintaining a wide lead in party-list support ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote, while New People, LDPR, KPRF, and SRZP cluster in the middle ranks amid modest shifts in voter intention. Yabloko’s exclusion from the ballot has narrowed the field of registered opposition options, allowing New People to register gains in some surveys as protest or alternative votes consolidate. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with multiple parties clustered near even odds for fourth place and limited differentiation in recent campaign data. Factors that could alter the ordering include final turnout patterns, single-mandate district results that indirectly influence list perceptions, and any late adjustments in regional mobilization by the larger systemic parties. The short interval before voting leaves little room for additional polling signals to resolve the narrow margins.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
Volume
$3,529Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated firms such as FOM and WCIOM shows United Russia maintaining a wide lead in party-list support ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote, while New People, LDPR, KPRF, and SRZP cluster in the middle ranks amid modest shifts in voter intention. Yabloko’s exclusion from the ballot has narrowed the field of registered opposition options, allowing New People to register gains in some surveys as protest or alternative votes consolidate. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with multiple parties clustered near even odds for fourth place and limited differentiation in recent campaign data. Factors that could alter the ordering include final turnout patterns, single-mandate district results that indirectly influence list perceptions, and any late adjustments in regional mobilization by the larger systemic parties. The short interval before voting leaves little room for additional polling signals to resolve the narrow margins.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$3,529Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from state-affiliated firms such as FOM and WCIOM shows United Russia maintaining a wide lead in party-list support ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote, while New People, LDPR, KPRF, and SRZP cluster in the middle ranks amid modest shifts in voter intention. Yabloko’s exclusion from the ballot has narrowed the field of registered opposition options, allowing New People to register gains in some surveys as protest or alternative votes consolidate. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with multiple parties clustered near even odds for fourth place and limited differentiation in recent campaign data. Factors that could alter the ordering include final turnout patterns, single-mandate district results that indirectly influence list perceptions, and any late adjustments in regional mobilization by the larger systemic parties. The short interval before voting leaves little room for additional polling signals to resolve the narrow margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
56%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
92%
Est-ce que Russie unie (ER) remportera le plus de sièges lors des prochaines élections parlementaires russes ?
99%
Oui
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