Jordan Bardella holds a commanding 95.3% implied probability as the next president of France’s National Rally because he faces no challengers ahead of the party congress scheduled for late October 2026. As incumbent since 2022, Bardella has consolidated internal support through his role steering the party’s legislative and European strategy while positioning himself as the prospective prime minister under Marine Le Pen’s 2027 presidential bid. Recent court rulings that cleared Le Pen to run for the Élysée have kept the focus on the national campaign rather than internal succession, leaving figures such as Louis Aliot, David Rachline, and Jean-Philippe Tanguy with negligible support. A sudden emergence of credible opposition, major scandal, or health event before the vote remains the primary route that could still alter the current trader consensus.