Google's rapid Gemini Flash iteration—3.6 Flash on July 21 followed by 3.7 Flash on August 13—has set expectations for another quick update to 3.8+, with internal employee previews of a "Gemini 3.8 Flash Preview" already running on the Jetski platform as of late August. CEO Sundar Pichai has publicly targeted near-monthly releases to emphasize efficiency gains in coding and agentic tasks while undercutting rivals on price, even as the flagship 3.5 Pro remains delayed. Traders see the tight spread across early-September dates as reflecting uncertainty over whether internal testing will translate to a public rollout within days or require additional weeks of refinement before general availability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour7 septembre 37%
September 2 27%
On or prior to September 1 24%
September 3 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
On or prior to September 1
24%
September 2
27%
September 3
27%
September 4
10%
September 5
9%
September 6
5%
7 septembre
37%
8 septembre
30%
9 septembre
22%
10 septembre
8%
11 septembre
26%
12 septembre
5%
13 septembre
2%
14 septembre
7%
15 septembre
26%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 15 septembre
11%
7 septembre 37%
September 2 27%
On or prior to September 1 24%
September 3 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
On or prior to September 1
$147 Vol.
24%
September 2
$39 Vol.
27%
September 3
$87 Vol.
27%
September 4
$51 Vol.
10%
September 5
$457 Vol.
9%
September 6
$457 Vol.
5%
7 septembre
$39 Vol.
37%
8 septembre
$51 Vol.
30%
9 septembre
$51 Vol.
22%
10 septembre
$39 Vol.
8%
11 septembre
$50 Vol.
26%
12 septembre
$47 Vol.
5%
13 septembre
$117 Vol.
2%
14 septembre
$39 Vol.
7%
15 septembre
$47 Vol.
26%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 15 septembre
$119 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's rapid Gemini Flash iteration—3.6 Flash on July 21 followed by 3.7 Flash on August 13—has set expectations for another quick update to 3.8+, with internal employee previews of a "Gemini 3.8 Flash Preview" already running on the Jetski platform as of late August. CEO Sundar Pichai has publicly targeted near-monthly releases to emphasize efficiency gains in coding and agentic tasks while undercutting rivals on price, even as the flagship 3.5 Pro remains delayed. Traders see the tight spread across early-September dates as reflecting uncertainty over whether internal testing will translate to a public rollout within days or require additional weeks of refinement before general availability.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Volume
$1,837Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 4:09 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's rapid Gemini Flash iteration—3.6 Flash on July 21 followed by 3.7 Flash on August 13—has set expectations for another quick update to 3.8+, with internal employee previews of a "Gemini 3.8 Flash Preview" already running on the Jetski platform as of late August. CEO Sundar Pichai has publicly targeted near-monthly releases to emphasize efficiency gains in coding and agentic tasks while undercutting rivals on price, even as the flagship 3.5 Pro remains delayed. Traders see the tight spread across early-September dates as reflecting uncertainty over whether internal testing will translate to a public rollout within days or require additional weeks of refinement before general availability.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,837Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 4:09 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Google's rapid Gemini Flash iteration—3.6 Flash on July 21 followed by 3.7 Flash on August 13—has set expectations for another quick update to 3.8+, with internal employee previews of a "Gemini 3.8 Flash Preview" already running on the Jetski platform as of late August. CEO Sundar Pichai has publicly targeted near-monthly releases to emphasize efficiency gains in coding and agentic tasks while undercutting rivals on price, even as the flagship 3.5 Pro remains delayed. Traders see the tight spread across early-September dates as reflecting uncertainty over whether internal testing will translate to a public rollout within days or require additional weeks of refinement before general availability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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