Democrat Deb Haaland holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Mexico governor race due to the open seat in a state that has favored Democrats in recent statewide contests, including a 6-point presidential margin in 2024. As former Interior secretary and U.S. representative, Haaland secured a decisive 72% primary win, giving her strong name recognition and fundraising edges over Republican nominee Gregg Hull, the former Rio Rancho mayor who prevailed in a competitive three-way GOP primary. Recent polls, including a late-August Journal survey showing Haaland at 49% to Hull's 43% among likely voters, align with broader Democratic advantages on turnout and voter blocs such as women. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrat reflects these structural factors, though narrower polling margins and potential shifts in independent or rural turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$34,463 Vol.
$34,463 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Démocrate
93%
Républicain
6%
$34,463 Vol.
$34,463 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$18,694 Vol.
93%
Républicain
$15,768 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democrat Deb Haaland holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Mexico governor race due to the open seat in a state that has favored Democrats in recent statewide contests, including a 6-point presidential margin in 2024. As former Interior secretary and U.S. representative, Haaland secured a decisive 72% primary win, giving her strong name recognition and fundraising edges over Republican nominee Gregg Hull, the former Rio Rancho mayor who prevailed in a competitive three-way GOP primary. Recent polls, including a late-August Journal survey showing Haaland at 49% to Hull's 43% among likely voters, align with broader Democratic advantages on turnout and voter blocs such as women. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrat reflects these structural factors, though narrower polling margins and potential shifts in independent or rural turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$34,463Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democrat Deb Haaland holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Mexico governor race due to the open seat in a state that has favored Democrats in recent statewide contests, including a 6-point presidential margin in 2024. As former Interior secretary and U.S. representative, Haaland secured a decisive 72% primary win, giving her strong name recognition and fundraising edges over Republican nominee Gregg Hull, the former Rio Rancho mayor who prevailed in a competitive three-way GOP primary. Recent polls, including a late-August Journal survey showing Haaland at 49% to Hull's 43% among likely voters, align with broader Democratic advantages on turnout and voter blocs such as women. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrat reflects these structural factors, though narrower polling margins and potential shifts in independent or rural turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$34,463Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Democrat Deb Haaland holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Mexico governor race due to the open seat in a state that has favored Democrats in recent statewide contests, including a 6-point presidential margin in 2024. As former Interior secretary and U.S. representative, Haaland secured a decisive 72% primary win, giving her strong name recognition and fundraising edges over Republican nominee Gregg Hull, the former Rio Rancho mayor who prevailed in a competitive three-way GOP primary. Recent polls, including a late-August Journal survey showing Haaland at 49% to Hull's 43% among likely voters, align with broader Democratic advantages on turnout and voter blocs such as women. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrat reflects these structural factors, though narrower polling margins and potential shifts in independent or rural turnout could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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